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CBAV3.SA$10.70+0.09%
Fair $10.70+0.0%

CBAV3.SA

Companhia Brasileira de Alumínio

Basic Materials / AluminumSão Paulo

$10.70

+0.01 (+0.09%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $10.70Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-206.7M · quality 41.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 2.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CBAV3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Companhia Brasileira de Alumínio
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.0B

P/E

56.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.7x

↓

ROE

2.8%

↑

Gross Margin

8.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.05

↑
52-Week Range$11
$3$11

TradingView lightweight chart

CBAV3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.70Periodo -10.0%
Fair value: $10.70

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.6%

FCF / Net income

0.46x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.79B · net income $121.0M · FCF $55.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.4%-10.3% pts

Operating margin

0.6%-11.5% pts

Net margin

1.4%-8.5% pts

FCF margin

0.6%+2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.79B$8.79B$8.17B$7.35B$8.82B
Net Income$121.0M$121.0M$-180.7M$-907.6M$867.5M
EBITDA$1.53B$1.53B$712.6M$-113.1M$1.94B
EPS0.190.19-0.28-1.411.46
Gross Margin8.4%8.4%10.5%1.0%18.7%
Operating Margin0.6%0.6%1.9%-6.7%12.1%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%-2.2%-12.4%9.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.051.051.270.990.59
Current Ratio2.112.11———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$55.3M$55.3M$-206.7M$-1.06B$-197.6M
Returns
ROE2.8%2.8%-4.8%-20.4%17.0%
Valuation
P/E56.3256.32——7.61
EV/EBITDA6.656.659.41—4.52
P/B1.621.620.800.741.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.5%7.5%11.2%-16.7%—
EPS Growth167.0%167.0%80.3%-196.6%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

72.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.95

Spread vs growth

94.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

43.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.15

Spread vs growth

123.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

25.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.85

Spread vs growth

141.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +127.6%

Total return

+127.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.28 → 0.19

Residual

+127.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+127.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.