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CEBR3.SA$28.00+0.00%
Fair $28.00+0.0%

CEBR3.SA

CEBR3.SA

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated ElectricSão Paulo

$28.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $28.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 4/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $236.8M · quality 63.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 83/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · CEBR3.SALocal privado en este navegador · CEBR3.SA
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$0

P/E

12.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.0x

↓

ROE

20.3%

↑

Gross Margin

43.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$28
$18$36

TradingView lightweight chart

CEBR3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $28.00Periodo +976.9%
Fair value: $28.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.6%

FCF CAGR

-11.1%

FCF margin

27.3%

FCF / Net income

0.75x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $510.3M · net income $185.6M · FCF $139.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.8%-10.3% pts

Operating margin

26.2%-27.1% pts

Net margin

36.4%-24.6% pts

FCF margin

27.3%-34.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$510.3M$510.3M$350.4M$352.6M$322.2M
Net Income$185.6M$185.6M$174.2M$183.5M$196.3M
EBITDA$318.4M$318.4M$294.8M$311.8M$369.4M
EPS2.472.472.322.452.62
Gross Margin43.8%43.8%55.1%51.8%54.1%
Operating Margin26.2%26.2%35.0%35.8%53.3%
Net Margin36.4%36.4%49.7%52.0%60.9%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio5.895.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$139.6M$139.6M$236.8M$243.4M$198.9M
Returns
ROE20.3%20.3%16.4%18.2%20.1%
Valuation
P/E12.6112.616.877.363.93
EV/EBITDA5.005.001.491.970.01
P/B2.212.211.081.290.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth45.7%45.7%-0.6%9.4%—
EPS Growth6.5%6.5%-5.1%-6.5%—
Dividend Yield14.1%14.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

0.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.48

Spread vs growth

6.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.01

Spread vs growth

2.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$4.84

Spread vs growth

-0.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +63.8%

Total return

+63.8%

Start / end P/E

8.1x → 11.3x

EPS bridge

2.32 → 2.47

Residual

+2.6%

EPS growth+6.5%
Multiple rerating+40.6%
Dividend+14.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.