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CEL.AX$0.15+0.00%
Fair $0.15+0.0%

CEL.AX

Challenger Gold Limited

Basic Materials / Other Precious Metals & MiningASX

$0.15

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.15Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-25.4M · quality 60.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CEL.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Challenger Gold Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$366M

P/E

53.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

27.1x

↑

ROE

2.4%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

CEL.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.150Periodo -89.5%
Fair value: $0.150

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

-5.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue — · net income $5.8M · FCF $-32.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

—— pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Net Income$5.8M$5.8M$74.6M$53.9M$24.7M
EBITDA$10.8M$10.8M$76.3M$54.4M$27.9M
EPS0.000.000.050.050.02
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.090.110.08
Current Ratio1.441.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-32.1M$-32.1M$-19.7M$-25.4M$-25.3M
Returns
ROE2.4%2.4%36.7%42.3%16.5%
Valuation
P/E53.5753.570.881.577.42
EV/EBITDA27.0727.071.101.736.47
P/B1.281.280.320.661.23
Growth & Yield
EPS Growth-94.8%-94.8%16.3%94.9%—

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

68.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

-162.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

41.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

-136.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

24.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

-119.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +50.0%

Total return

+50.0%

Start / end P/E

1.9x → 53.6x

EPS bridge

0.05 → 0.00

Residual

-2621.3%

EPS growth-94.8%
Multiple rerating+2766.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2621.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.