StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
CHMG$68.89+0.28%
Fair $69.46+0.8%

CHMG

Chemung Financial Corporation

Financial Services / Banks - RegionalNasdaqGS

$68.89

+0.19 (+0.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.8%Fair Value $69.46Fund rank 72/100 · WatchlistSEC 17/17 yrs|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

Book/ROE base 3Y

$92.25

+10.2% CAGR · P/B 1.3x

Book/ROE base 5Y

$111.62

+10.1% base · +11.8% expected

Precio de entrada

$52.39

MOS 17% · confianza 92%

Book/ROE escenarios

audited · book/share $53.02 · quality 50.0/100

Watchlist 72/100
Bear 5Y$32.98-13.7%
Base 5Y$111.62+10.1%
Bull 5Y$226.01+26.8%
Return 85/100Downside 37/100Model quality 83/100Data QA 100/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

51/100

+0.8% upside

5Y CAGR

+11.8%

97/100

Data QA

90/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 17Warnings: 1sec-companyfacts: 17
Generic DCF/FCF bypassed: financial balance-sheet sector valued with a sector-specific Book/ROE model. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · CHMGLocal privado en este navegador · Chemung Financial Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$332M

P/E

21.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

5.9%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.55

↑
52-Week Range$69
$43$71

TradingView lightweight chart

CHMG price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $68.89Periodo +182.6%
Buy zone: $52.39Bear 5Y: $32.98Fair value: $69.46Base 5Y: $111.62Bull 5Y: $226.01

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.8%

FCF CAGR

+12.3%

FCF margin

46.6%

FCF / Net income

2.90x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $94.0M · net income $15.1M · FCF $43.8M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

16.1%+4.3% pts

FCF margin

46.6%+31.2% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
2010SEC
2009SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$94.0M$94.0M$96.1M$98.0M$94.6M$69.0M$66.9M$66.9M$64.6M$60.1M$56.2M$54.2M$53.2M$50.7M$52.1M$50.6M$42.7M$44.5M
Net Income$15.1M$15.1M$23.7M$25.0M$28.8M$26.4M$19.3M$15.6M$19.6M$7.4M$10.0M$9.4M$8.2M$8.7M$11.0M$10.5M$10.1M$5.2M
EPS3.143.144.965.286.135.644.01———————2.382.402.801.45
Net Margin16.1%16.1%24.6%25.5%30.4%38.3%28.8%23.3%30.4%12.4%17.9%17.4%15.3%17.2%21.2%20.8%23.6%11.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.550.550.550.210.64—————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$43.8M$43.8M$26.2M$30.4M$34.6M$35.1M$27.8M$25.5M$26.0M$22.2M$20.4M——$19.3M$20.9M$6.6M$15.7M$6.9M
Returns
ROE5.9%5.9%11.0%12.8%17.3%12.5%9.6%8.5%11.9%5.0%7.0%6.9%6.1%6.3%8.4%8.4%10.4%5.8%
Valuation
P/E21.4821.4813.6012.7711.0011.9616.82———————————
P/B1.271.271.491.631.901.491.62———————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.2%-2.2%-1.9%3.5%37.1%3.1%-0.0%3.7%7.5%6.9%3.5%1.9%5.0%-2.7%2.8%18.5%-3.9%—
EPS Growth-36.7%-36.7%-6.1%-13.9%8.7%40.6%————————-0.8%-14.3%93.1%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.11

Spread vs growth

-61.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.40

Spread vs growth

-55.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$11.91

Spread vs growth

-51.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +50.2%

Total return

+50.2%

Start / end P/E

9.4x → 21.9x

EPS bridge

4.96 → 3.14

Residual

-49.2%

EPS growth-36.7%
Multiple rerating+134.1%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-49.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.