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CME$261.73-4.32%
Fair $261.73+0.0%

CME

CME Group Inc.

Financial Services / Financial Data & Stock ExchangesNasdaqGS

$261.73

-11.82 (-4.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $261.73Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 5/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 91/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 19Warnings: 0unknown: 19
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · CMELocal privado en este navegador · CME Group Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$94.6B

P/E

22.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.0x

↑

ROE

14.2%

↑

Gross Margin

86.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$262
$257$329

TradingView lightweight chart

CME price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $261.73Periodo +2950.4%
Fair value: $261.73

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.6%

FCF CAGR

+10.9%

FCF margin

64.3%

FCF / Net income

1.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.52B · net income $4.07B · FCF $4.19B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

86.1%— pts

Operating margin

64.9%+5.0% pts

Net margin

62.5%+25.0% pts

FCF margin

64.3%+27.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Income Statement
Revenue$6.52B$6.52B$6.13B$5.58B$5.02B$4.69B$4.88B$4.87B$4.31B$3.64B$3.60B$3.33B$3.11B$2.94B$2.91B$3.28B$3.00B$2.61B$2.56B$1.76B
Net Income$4.07B$4.07B$3.53B$3.23B$2.69B$2.64B$2.11B$2.12B$1.96B$4.06B$1.53B$1.25B$1.13B$976.8M$896.3M$1.81B$951.4M$825.8M$715.5M$658.5M
EBITDA$5.83B$5.83B$5.04B$4.67B$4.02B$2.79B$2.79B$2.75B$2.73B$2.42B$2.33B$2.12B$1.90B$1.77B$1.83B$2.15B$1.96B$1.72B$1.72B$1.16B
EPS11.1611.169.678.867.407.295.875.915.7111.944.533.693.352.922.705.432.862.482.432.99
Gross Margin86.1%86.1%86.1%85.1%85.0%———————————————
Operating Margin64.9%64.9%64.1%61.6%60.1%56.4%54.0%53.2%60.5%63.4%61.2%59.8%56.8%55.8%58.1%61.6%61.0%60.8%61.8%59.9%
Net Margin62.5%62.5%57.5%57.8%53.6%56.2%43.1%43.5%45.5%111.5%42.7%37.5%36.2%33.3%30.8%55.2%31.7%31.6%27.9%37.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.130.130.13———————————————
Current Ratio1.021.02——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.19B$4.19B$3.60B$3.38B$2.97B$2.28B$2.52B$2.43B$2.32B$1.67B$1.64B$1.42B$1.15B$1.15B$1.08B$1.17B$1.20B$925.2M$997.1M$650.7M
Returns
ROE14.2%14.2%13.3%12.1%10.0%9.6%8.0%8.1%7.6%18.1%7.5%6.1%5.4%4.6%4.2%8.4%4.7%4.3%3.8%5.4%
Valuation
P/E22.3522.3524.0422.4823.66———————————————
EV/EBITDA15.9915.9916.7115.4615.84———————————————
P/B3.283.283.162.682.34———————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.4%6.4%9.9%11.1%—-4.0%0.3%13.0%18.2%1.4%8.1%6.9%6.0%0.7%-11.2%9.2%15.0%2.0%45.8%—
EPS Growth15.4%15.4%9.1%19.7%—24.2%-0.7%3.5%-52.2%163.6%22.8%10.1%14.7%8.1%-50.3%89.9%15.2%2.3%-18.8%—
Dividend Yield1.9%1.9%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

27.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$23.22

Spread vs growth

-12.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$28.10

Spread vs growth

-4.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$45.26

Spread vs growth

0.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -7.5%

Total return

-7.5%

Start / end P/E

29.9x → 23.5x

EPS bridge

9.67 → 11.16

Residual

-3.3%

EPS growth+15.4%
Multiple rerating-21.5%
Dividend+1.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.