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CWCO$30.05-0.43%
Fair $30.05+0.0%

CWCO

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated WaterNasdaqGS

$30.05

-0.13 (-0.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $30.05Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $29.8M · quality 70.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 59/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · CWCOLocal privado en este navegador · Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$481M

P/E

27.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.4x

↑

ROE

8.3%

↑

Gross Margin

36.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$30
$27$39

TradingView lightweight chart

CWCO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $30.05Periodo +861.6%
Fair value: $30.05

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.3%

FCF CAGR

+6.3%

FCF margin

25.1%

FCF / Net income

1.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $132.1M · net income $18.3M · FCF $33.2M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.6%-3.0% pts

Operating margin

13.8%-8.4% pts

Net margin

13.9%+3.4% pts

FCF margin

25.1%+3.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$132.1M$132.1M$134.0M$180.2M$94.1M$66.9M$72.6M$68.8M$65.7M$59.4M$57.9M$57.1M$65.6M$63.8M$65.5M$55.2M$50.7M$58.0M
Net Income$18.3M$18.3M$28.2M$29.6M$5.9M$875579.00$3.7M$12.2M$11.3M$6.1M$4.0M$7.5M$6.3M$8.6M$9.3M$6.1M$6.3M$6.1M
EBITDA$29.0M$29.0M$28.1M$45.6M$16.0M$8.9M$15.8M$18.9M$15.0M$9.6M$9.6M$14.3M$12.0M$13.1M$14.7M$11.4M$11.6M$19.3M
EPS1.141.141.771.860.380.060.240.800.750.410.270.510.420.580.640.420.430.42
Gross Margin36.6%36.6%34.1%34.4%32.3%35.2%36.9%41.1%40.7%40.4%41.9%40.8%35.8%36.8%33.6%34.5%32.8%39.6%
Operating Margin13.8%13.8%13.5%20.6%9.9%3.0%11.5%17.0%12.1%3.8%3.7%14.8%9.9%12.0%10.6%9.7%10.4%22.2%
Net Margin13.9%13.9%21.1%16.4%6.2%1.3%5.1%17.7%17.2%10.3%6.8%13.2%9.6%13.5%14.2%11.1%12.4%10.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.020.010.020.000.000.000.00—0.000.050.060.000.040.050.13—
Current Ratio6.046.04————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$33.2M$33.2M$29.8M$2.9M$13.8M$5.5M$15.6M$11.7M$-7.2M$10.6M$4.4M$14.2M—$4.4M$7.0M$-5.5M$4.8M$12.5M
Returns
ROE8.3%8.3%13.4%15.8%3.7%0.6%2.3%7.4%7.3%4.2%2.7%5.2%4.4%6.2%6.9%4.7%5.0%—
Valuation
P/E27.5727.5714.7517.5838.55—————————————
EV/EBITDA12.4212.4211.4010.5011.11—————————————
P/B2.172.171.982.781.41—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.4%-1.4%-25.7%91.5%—-7.9%5.6%4.7%10.7%2.6%1.3%-12.9%2.7%-2.5%18.7%8.8%-12.6%—
EPS Growth-35.6%-35.6%-4.8%389.5%—-75.0%-70.0%6.7%82.9%51.9%-47.1%21.4%-27.6%-9.4%52.4%-2.3%2.4%—
Dividend Yield1.9%1.9%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

32.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.67

Spread vs growth

-68.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

23.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.23

Spread vs growth

-58.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.20

Spread vs growth

-52.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.0%

Total return

+13.0%

Start / end P/E

15.3x → 26.4x

EPS bridge

1.77 → 1.14

Residual

-25.8%

EPS growth-35.6%
Multiple rerating+72.6%
Dividend+1.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.