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DEXP4.SA$7.06-0.56%
Fair $7.06+0.0%

DEXP4.SA

Dexxos Participações S.A.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsSão Paulo

$7.06

-0.04 (-0.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.06Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $165.4M · quality 65.7/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 49/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · DEXP4.SALocal privado en este navegador · Dexxos Participações S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$850M

P/E

9.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.4x

↓

ROE

14.3%

↑

Gross Margin

15.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.30

↑
52-Week Range$7
$7$8

TradingView lightweight chart

DEXP4.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.060Periodo -4.7%
Fair value: $7.060

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.6%

FCF CAGR

-6.4%

FCF margin

7.7%

FCF / Net income

1.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.14B · net income $143.7M · FCF $165.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.8%-2.5% pts

Operating margin

9.6%-3.5% pts

Net margin

6.7%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

7.7%-1.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.14B$2.14B$1.81B$1.75B$2.10B
Net Income$143.7M$143.7M$144.2M$180.8M$149.9M
EBITDA$274.3M$274.3M$288.3M$335.4M$312.3M
EPS1.331.331.251.721.42
Gross Margin15.8%15.8%19.4%19.6%18.3%
Operating Margin9.6%9.6%11.8%13.7%13.0%
Net Margin6.7%6.7%8.0%10.4%7.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.300.300.420.55
Current Ratio3.803.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$165.4M$165.4M$-13.1M$315.1M$201.6M
Returns
ROE14.3%14.3%15.2%24.8%26.3%
Valuation
P/E9.679.675.855.913.96
EV/EBITDA2.422.422.722.742.26
P/B0.760.760.891.471.04
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.0%18.0%3.7%-16.8%—
EPS Growth6.0%6.0%-26.9%20.6%—
Dividend Yield8.8%8.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-22.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.63

Spread vs growth

28.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.76

Spread vs growth

16.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.22

Spread vs growth

6.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.1%

Total return

-5.1%

Start / end P/E

6.5x → 5.3x

EPS bridge

1.25 → 1.33

Residual

-1.1%

EPS growth+6.0%
Multiple rerating-18.8%
Dividend+8.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.