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ECEA.F$11.00+4.55%
Fair $11.00+0.0%

ECEA.F

Societatea Energetica Electrica S.A.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated ElectricFrankfurt

$11.00

+0.50 (+4.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-708.8M · quality 57.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 35/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · ECEA.FLocal privado en este navegador · Societatea Energetica Electrica S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$934M

P/E

4.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.9x

↓

ROE

6.8%

↑

Gross Margin

14.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.86

↑
52-Week Range$11
$10$16

TradingView lightweight chart

ECEA.F price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.50Periodo +0.1%
Fair value: $11.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.1%

FCF / Net income

-1.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.00B · net income $389.6M · FCF $-550.7M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

14.9%+3.0% pts

Operating margin

8.6%+18.3% pts

Net margin

4.3%+12.0% pts

FCF margin

-6.1%+3.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$9.00B$9.00B$9.82B$10.01B$7.18B
Net Income$389.6M$389.6M$772.2M$-240.4M$-552.9M
EBITDA$1.37B$1.37B$1.71B$373.1M$-122.5M
EPS4.604.609.08-2.84—
Gross Margin14.9%14.9%-3.2%-12.3%11.9%
Operating Margin8.6%8.6%11.6%-1.0%-9.8%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%7.9%-2.4%-7.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.860.860.790.740.26
Current Ratio1.691.69———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-550.7M$-550.7M$-708.8M$-1.73B$-695.0M
Returns
ROE6.8%6.8%14.4%-5.3%-11.2%
Valuation
P/E4.034.030.92——
EV/EBITDA3.943.942.659.68—
P/B0.160.160.130.120.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.4%-8.4%-1.9%39.4%—
EPS Growth-49.3%-49.3%419.7%——
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-40.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.98

Spread vs growth

-9.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-23.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.18

Spread vs growth

-25.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.90

Spread vs growth

-40.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.0%

Total return

+17.0%

Start / end P/E

1.1x → 2.5x

EPS bridge

9.08 → 4.60

Residual

-62.7%

EPS growth-49.3%
Multiple rerating+127.0%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-62.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.