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v0.1
ECL$250.87-2.00%
Fair $250.87+0.0%

ECL

Ecolab Inc.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsNYSE

$250.87

-5.13 (-2.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $250.87Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.8B · quality 72.3/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 84/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 19Warnings: 0unknown: 19
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · ECLLocal privado en este navegador · Ecolab Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$70.6B

P/E

33.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

20.9x

↑

ROE

21.2%

↑

Gross Margin

44.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.92

↑
52-Week Range$251
$243$309

TradingView lightweight chart

ECL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $250.87Periodo +1231.3%
Fair value: $250.87

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.2%

FCF CAGR

+7.8%

FCF margin

11.8%

FCF / Net income

0.92x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $16.08B · net income $2.08B · FCF $1.90B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.5%— pts

Operating margin

18.0%+5.8% pts

Net margin

12.9%+5.1% pts

FCF margin

11.8%+2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Income Statement
Revenue$16.08B$16.08B$15.74B$15.32B$14.19B$12.73B$11.79B$12.56B$12.22B$13.84B$13.15B$13.55B$14.28B$13.25B$11.84B$6.80B$6.09B$5.90B$6.14B$5.47B
Net Income$2.08B$2.08B$2.11B$1.37B$1.09B$1.13B$-1.19B$1.58B$1.44B$1.52B$1.25B$1.02B$1.22B$973.6M$701.3M$463.3M$530.3M$417.3M$448.1M$427.2M
EBITDA$3.83B$3.83B$3.85B$3.03B$2.53B—————————$2.00B$1.15B$1.15B$1.02B$1.05B$960.9M
EPS7.287.287.374.793.813.91-4.155.334.885.124.143.323.933.162.351.912.231.741.801.70
Gross Margin44.5%44.5%43.5%40.2%37.8%———————————————
Operating Margin18.0%18.0%16.6%13.7%12.0%12.6%11.8%14.7%14.1%14.1%14.2%11.5%13.7%11.8%10.9%11.1%13.2%11.5%11.6%12.2%
Net Margin12.9%12.9%13.4%9.0%7.7%8.9%-10.1%12.5%11.8%11.0%9.5%7.5%8.6%7.3%5.9%6.8%8.7%7.1%7.3%7.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.920.920.951.091.25——————————1.170.310.430.51—
Current Ratio0.990.99——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.90B$1.90B$1.82B$1.64B$1.08B$1.42B$1.37B$1.69B$1.50B$1.22B$1.18B$1.23B————$689.9M$442.5M$426.5M$491.1M
Returns
ROE21.2%21.2%24.1%17.1%15.1%15.6%-19.2%18.1%18.0%20.0%18.1%14.7%16.7%13.3%11.5%8.2%24.9%20.9%28.5%—
Valuation
P/E33.9033.9031.4740.7639.23———————————————
EV/EBITDA20.8620.8619.1121.0520.23———————————————
P/B7.327.327.596.955.92———————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.2%2.2%2.7%8.0%—8.0%-6.1%2.8%-11.7%5.2%-2.9%-5.1%7.7%11.9%74.1%11.6%3.2%-3.9%12.2%—
EPS Growth-1.2%-1.2%53.9%25.7%—194.2%-177.9%9.2%-4.7%23.7%24.7%-15.5%24.4%34.5%23.0%-14.3%28.2%-3.3%5.9%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

45.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$22.26

Spread vs growth

-46.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

29.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$26.94

Spread vs growth

-31.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$43.38

Spread vs growth

-20.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.4%

Total return

-4.4%

Start / end P/E

36.0x → 34.5x

EPS bridge

7.37 → 7.28

Residual

+0.1%

EPS growth-1.2%
Multiple rerating-4.4%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.