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ECOG.BA$3330.00+2.54%
Fair $3330.00+0.0%

ECOG.BA

Ecogas Inversiones S.A.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated GasBuenos Aires

$3330.00

+82.50 (+2.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3330.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $87.7B · quality 56.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 63/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

8/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 2Warnings: 0unknown: 2
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Limited financial history; valuation confidence should be treated as provisional. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · ECOG.BALocal privado en este navegador · Ecogas Inversiones S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$833.1B

P/E

7.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.4x

↓

ROE

20.8%

↑

Gross Margin

36.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$3330
$1385$30850

TradingView lightweight chart

ECOG.BA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,330Periodo -90.1%
Fair value: $3,330

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2024–2025 · 1 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.5%

FCF CAGR

-7.6%

FCF margin

12.0%

FCF / Net income

0.94x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $704.27B · net income $89.65B · FCF $84.21B

2024-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.3%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

23.9%+2.0% pts

Net margin

12.7%+7.9% pts

FCF margin

12.0%-2.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
Income Statement
Revenue$704.27B$704.27B$643.12B
Net Income$89.65B$89.65B$30.89B
EBITDA$197.10B$197.10B$139.04B
EPS421.65421.65134.75
Gross Margin36.3%36.3%34.1%
Operating Margin23.9%23.9%21.8%
Net Margin12.7%12.7%4.8%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio1.451.45—
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$84.21B$84.21B$91.16B
Returns
ROE20.8%20.8%11.3%
Valuation
P/E7.907.90—
EV/EBITDA3.393.39—
P/B1.641.64—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.5%9.5%—
EPS Growth212.9%212.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$295.48

Spread vs growth

224.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$357.53

Spread vs growth

216.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$575.81

Spread vs growth

209.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -88.7%

Total return

-88.7%

Start / end P/E

218.4x → 7.9x

EPS bridge

134.75 → 421.65

Residual

-205.2%

EPS growth+212.9%
Multiple rerating-96.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-205.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.