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EPAR3.SA$1.97-4.48%
Fair $1.97+0.0%

EPAR3.SA

Embpar Participacoes S.A.

Basic Materials / Lumber & Wood ProductionSão Paulo

$1.97

-0.09 (-4.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.97Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 10/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-3.8M · quality 27.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

10/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -7.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · EPAR3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Embpar Participacoes S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$29M

P/E

65.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-7.3%

↓

Gross Margin

98.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$2
$2$5

TradingView lightweight chart

EPAR3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.920Periodo +2033.3%
Fair value: $1.970

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-87.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-159.9%

FCF / Net income

1.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.4M · net income $-2.9M · FCF $-3.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

98.7%+81.8% pts

Operating margin

-97.9%-106.9% pts

Net margin

-119.8%-125.7% pts

FCF margin

-159.9%-155.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.4M$2.4M$24.4M$457.5M$1.09B
Net Income$-2.9M$-2.9M$-6.8M$15.6M$63.5M
EBITDA$-1.5M$-1.5M$2.5M$50.7M$103.1M
EPS-0.19-0.19-0.461.054.27
Gross Margin98.7%98.7%-1.9%17.6%16.9%
Operating Margin-97.9%-97.9%-41.1%3.1%9.0%
Net Margin-119.8%-119.8%-27.9%3.4%5.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity———0.010.77
Current Ratio7.547.54———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-3.8M$-3.8M$17.0M$-11.8M$-52.4M
Returns
ROE-7.3%-7.3%-12.3%19.4%55.2%
Valuation
P/E65.6765.67—9.842.31
EV/EBITDA——32.782.901.95
P/B0.740.741.551.911.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-90.2%-90.2%-94.7%-57.9%—
EPS Growth57.8%57.8%-143.7%-75.5%—
Dividend Yield79.0%79.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +21.5%

Total return

+21.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.46 → -0.19

Residual

-57.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+79.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-57.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.