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EXP$221.01-0.08%
Fair $221.01+0.0%

EXP

Eagle Materials Inc.

Basic Materials / Building MaterialsNYSE

$221.01

-0.17 (-0.08%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $221.01Fund rank 38/100 · PassSEC 18/18 yrs|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

$148.39

-12.4% CAGR · yield 6.0%

FCF base 5Y

$125.60

-10.7% base · -8.6% expected

Precio de entrada

$59.22

MOS 17% · confianza 89%

FCF escenarios

audited · normalized FCF $353.3M · quality 67.3/100

Pass 38/100
Bear 5Y$68.98-20.8%
Base 5Y$125.60-10.7%
Bull 5Y$243.78+2.0%
Return 0/100Downside 17/100Model quality 80/100Data QA 100/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

-8.6%

16/100

Data QA

90/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 18Warnings: 0sec-companyfacts: 18
Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · EXPLocal privado en este navegador · Eagle Materials Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.8B

P/E

16.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

11.3x

↑

ROE

28.7%

↑

Gross Margin

28.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.19

↑
52-Week Range$221
$172$244

TradingView lightweight chart

EXP price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $221.01Periodo +1698.0%
Buy zone: $59.22Bear 5Y: $68.98Fair value: $221.01Base 5Y: $125.60Bull 5Y: $243.78

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2026 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.3%

FCF CAGR

+6.9%

FCF margin

8.6%

FCF / Net income

0.47x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.31B · net income $423.8M · FCF $197.4M

2009-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

28.3%+16.2% pts

Operating margin

24.4%+6.4% pts

Net margin

18.4%+11.4% pts

FCF margin

8.6%-2.0% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2026, 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2026SEC
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
2010SEC
2009SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$2.31B$2.31B$2.26B$2.26B$2.15B$1.86B$1.62B$1.40B$1.31B$1.39B$1.21B——$189.9M$159.1M$495.0M$462.2M$467.9M$598.6M
Net Income$423.8M$423.8M$463.4M$477.6M$461.5M$374.2M$339.4M$70.9M$68.9M$256.6M$198.2M$152.6M$186.9M$22.6M$57.7M$18.7M$14.8M$28.9M$41.8M
EBITDA$759.4M$759.4M$792.6M$811.1M$762.7M$680.9M$574.9M$498.8M$509.2M$496.2M$446.2M$367.8M$378.6M$294.7M$191.4M$119.5M$109.9M$130.0M$159.2M
EPS13.1613.1613.7713.6112.469.148.121.681.475.284.103.053.710.451.220.420.340.660.95
Gross Margin28.3%28.3%29.8%30.3%29.8%27.9%25.2%24.4%26.6%24.4%25.8%——15.5%64.9%8.2%7.7%11.1%12.0%
Operating Margin24.4%24.4%26.5%31.7%31.4%29.7%27.5%27.4%29.5%27.6%29.3%——118.3%84.5%14.0%13.1%16.9%18.0%
Net Margin18.4%18.4%20.5%21.1%21.5%20.1%20.9%5.0%5.3%18.5%16.4%——11.9%36.3%3.8%3.2%6.2%7.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.191.190.850.840.920.830.741.620.570.440.570.490.510.460.700.560.620.67—
Current Ratio3.653.65—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$197.4M$197.4M$353.3M$443.6M$431.6M$443.1M$589.1M$267.2M$181.4M$205.7M$274.7M———$71.4M$34.8M$26.9M$50.8M$63.3M
Returns
ROE28.7%28.7%31.8%36.5%38.9%33.0%25.0%7.3%5.7%18.1%16.5%14.7%18.5%2.7%8.3%4.0%3.2%6.4%9.6%
Valuation
P/E16.1116.1115.4015.5817.0123.1926.11126.19144.2240.1551.7169.5157.14471.11173.77504.76623.53321.21223.16
EV/EBITDA11.3411.3410.8112.888.07——————————————
P/B4.634.634.905.696.637.656.529.268.237.278.5210.2010.5712.7314.4219.9720.3320.5821.33
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.1%2.1%0.1%5.2%15.4%14.7%15.6%7.2%-5.5%14.5%———19.3%-67.9%7.1%-1.2%-21.8%—
EPS Growth-4.4%-4.4%1.2%9.2%36.3%12.6%383.3%14.3%-72.2%28.8%34.4%-17.8%724.4%-63.1%190.5%23.5%-48.5%-30.5%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%—————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$19.61

Spread vs growth

-18.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$23.73

Spread vs growth

-16.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$38.22

Spread vs growth

-15.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +9.7%

Total return

+9.7%

Start / end P/E

14.7x → 16.8x

EPS bridge

13.77 → 13.16

Residual

-0.6%

EPS growth-4.4%
Multiple rerating+14.4%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.