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EXPL.PA$286.00+0.00%
Fair $286.00+0.0%

EXPL.PA

EPC Groupe

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsParis

$286.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $286.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $30.9M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · EXPL.PALocal privado en este navegador · EPC Groupe
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$610M

P/E

21.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.4x

↓

ROE

15.2%

↑

Gross Margin

37.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.62

↑
52-Week Range$286
$181$302

TradingView lightweight chart

EXPL.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $280.00Periodo +1818.4%
Fair value: $286.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.7%

FCF / Net income

1.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $539.2M · net income $28.5M · FCF $30.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.7%+7.0% pts

Operating margin

6.7%+2.4% pts

Net margin

5.3%+1.5% pts

FCF margin

5.7%+7.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$539.2M$539.2M$490.2M$482.3M$467.5M
Net Income$28.5M$28.5M$23.4M$21.3M$17.7M
EBITDA$73.3M$73.3M$65.6M$61.5M$50.7M
EPS13.3113.3111.0310.168.40
Gross Margin37.7%37.7%36.4%32.5%30.7%
Operating Margin6.7%6.7%4.0%4.3%4.4%
Net Margin5.3%5.3%4.8%4.4%3.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.620.620.640.840.95
Current Ratio1.421.42———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$30.9M$30.9M$40.5M$10.6M$-8.5M
Returns
ROE15.2%15.2%14.0%15.3%14.5%
Valuation
P/E21.5021.5016.9110.9311.31
EV/EBITDA9.419.417.185.285.68
P/B3.263.262.371.671.64
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.0%10.0%1.6%3.2%—
EPS Growth20.7%20.7%8.6%21.0%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$25.38

Spread vs growth

-3.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$30.71

Spread vs growth

2.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$49.45

Spread vs growth

6.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +47.3%

Total return

+47.3%

Start / end P/E

17.4x → 21.0x

EPS bridge

11.03 → 13.31

Residual

+4.4%

EPS growth+20.7%
Multiple rerating+21.2%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.