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Financial Analysis

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v0.1
FEX.AX$0.30-1.64%
Fair $0.30+0.0%

FEX.AX

Fenix Resources Limited

Basic Materials / SteelASX

$0.30

-0.00 (-1.64%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.30Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $12.2M · quality 64.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 58/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 3.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · FEX.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Fenix Resources Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$229M

P/E

15.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

3.0%

↑

Gross Margin

23.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.47

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

FEX.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.300Periodo -42.6%
Fair value: $0.300

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.3%

FCF CAGR

-48.6%

FCF margin

2.4%

FCF / Net income

1.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $316.1M · net income $5.4M · FCF $7.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.0%-6.3% pts

Operating margin

2.6%-22.9% pts

Net margin

1.7%-18.6% pts

FCF margin

2.4%-19.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$316.1M$316.1M$259.2M$196.8M$249.2M
Net Income$5.4M$5.4M$33.6M$29.3M$50.7M
EBITDA$56.9M$56.9M$74.8M$55.2M$75.8M
EPS0.010.010.040.050.09
Gross Margin23.0%23.0%32.5%25.7%29.3%
Operating Margin2.6%2.6%16.8%13.9%25.6%
Net Margin1.7%1.7%13.0%14.9%20.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.470.470.250.170.00
Current Ratio0.850.85———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$7.5M$7.5M$43.9M$12.2M$55.4M
Returns
ROE3.0%3.0%20.2%23.4%46.8%
Valuation
P/E15.0015.008.765.773.27
EV/EBITDA4.474.473.472.060.85
P/B1.281.281.771.351.53
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth21.9%21.9%31.7%-21.0%—
EPS Growth-83.4%-83.4%-10.3%-47.2%—
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

55.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

-138.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

35.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

-118.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

-105.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.6%

Total return

+8.6%

Start / end P/E

6.7x → 42.3x

EPS bridge

0.04 → 0.01

Residual

-445.9%

EPS growth-83.4%
Multiple rerating+534.5%
Dividend+3.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-445.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.