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v0.1
FF$4.18+0.97%
Fair $4.18+0.0%

FF

FutureFuel Corp.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsNYSE

$4.18

+0.04 (+0.97%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.18Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $10.1M · quality 37.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 2unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -31.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · FFLocal privado en este navegador · FutureFuel Corp.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$183M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-31.9%

↓

Gross Margin

-41.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$4
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

FF price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.180Periodo -58.7%
Fair value: $4.180

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-48.0%

FCF / Net income

0.93x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $95.7M · net income $-49.4M · FCF $-46.0M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-41.2%-58.9% pts

Operating margin

-55.3%-68.1% pts

Net margin

-51.6%-60.3% pts

FCF margin

-48.0%-49.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$95.7M$95.7M$243.3M$368.3M$396.0M$321.4M$204.5M$205.2M$291.0M$275.0M$253.2M$234.6M$302.7M$435.5M$338.8M$304.6M$219.2M$194.2M
Net Income$-49.4M$-49.4M$15.5M$37.4M$15.2M$26.3M$46.6M$88.2M$53.2M$23.5M$56.3M$46.4M$53.2M$74.0M$34.3M$34.5M$23.1M$17.0M
EBITDA$-39.4M$-39.4M$25.6M$47.9M$24.3M—$33.5M$77.4M$74.7M$21.5M$47.3M$57.2M$65.1M$100.6M$56.5M$60.7M$39.7M$32.4M
EPS-1.13-1.130.350.850.350.601.062.021.220.541.291.061.221.710.830.840.620.58
Gross Margin-41.2%-41.2%8.1%11.1%7.3%7.3%15.3%36.1%25.2%7.4%18.5%24.3%21.8%23.0%16.9%20.3%18.8%17.7%
Operating Margin-55.3%-55.3%2.6%7.4%4.4%4.0%10.9%31.8%21.8%3.6%14.4%20.0%18.5%20.7%13.6%16.9%14.7%12.8%
Net Margin-51.6%-51.6%6.4%10.2%3.8%8.2%22.8%43.0%18.3%8.5%22.3%19.8%17.6%17.0%10.1%11.3%10.5%8.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity———0.000.00—————————————
Current Ratio4.794.79————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-46.0M$-46.0M$10.1M$15.3M$47.7M$42.6M$91.9M$27.7M$80.7M$35.8M$86.5M$32.4M$43.8M$43.9M$55.8M$27.2M$8.2M$2.7M
Returns
ROE-31.9%-31.9%7.5%12.1%5.4%9.1%12.5%18.9%13.7%6.7%16.9%11.8%14.8%22.5%13.2%12.0%9.2%8.9%
Valuation
P/E——15.007.0624.69—————————————
EV/EBITDA——4.690.918.35—————————————
P/B1.191.191.120.851.34—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-60.7%-60.7%-33.9%-7.0%—57.2%-0.4%-29.5%5.8%8.6%7.9%-22.5%-30.5%28.5%11.2%39.0%12.9%—
EPS Growth-422.9%-422.9%-58.8%142.9%—-43.4%-47.5%65.6%125.9%-58.1%21.7%-13.1%-28.7%106.0%-1.2%35.5%6.9%—
Dividend Yield4.6%4.6%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.4%

Total return

+10.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.35 → -1.13

Residual

+5.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+5.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.