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FFM.AX$2.32+8.41%
Fair $2.32+0.0%

FFM.AX

FireFly Metals Ltd

Basic Materials / Other Industrial Metals & MiningASX

$2.32

+0.18 (+8.41%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.32Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-70.8M · quality 72.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 45/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -3.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · FFM.AXLocal privado en este navegador · FireFly Metals Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-3.5%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$2
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

FFM.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.320Periodo -12.6%
Fair value: $2.320

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

6.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue — · net income $-11.4M · FCF $-70.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

—— pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Net Income$-11.4M$-11.4M$-22.4M$-3.5M$-3.2M
EBITDA$-8.1M$-8.1M$-21.6M$-3.6M$-3.5M
EPS-0.02-0.02-0.07-0.02-0.03
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.030.00
Current Ratio16.9316.93———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-70.8M$-70.8M$-72.3M$-16.0M$-26.7M
Returns
ROE-3.5%-3.5%-12.2%-5.8%-5.6%
Valuation
P/B3.943.941.501.011.46
Growth & Yield
EPS Growth69.7%69.7%-186.2%11.1%—

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +125.2%

Total return

+125.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.07 → -0.02

Residual

+125.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+125.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.