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FHER3.SA$3.96-2.22%
Fair $3.96+0.0%

FHER3.SA

Fertilizantes Heringer S.A.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsSão Paulo

$3.96

-0.09 (-2.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.96Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-20.2M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · FHER3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Fertilizantes Heringer S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$213M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

2.6x

↓

ROE

13.1%

↑

Gross Margin

0.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

-0.50

↓
52-Week Range$4
$4$6

TradingView lightweight chart

FHER3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.960Periodo -76.5%
Fair value: $3.960

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.1%

FCF / Net income

0.49x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.09B · net income $-172.2M · FCF $-85.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

0.2%-4.1% pts

Operating margin

-7.3%-6.7% pts

Net margin

-4.2%-1.6% pts

FCF margin

-2.1%-10.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.09B$4.09B$4.61B$5.34B$5.68B
Net Income$-172.2M$-172.2M$-1.15B$-361.0M$-150.6M
EBITDA$301.1M$301.1M$-753.0M$-201.8M$54.5M
EPS——-21.44-6.70-2.80
Gross Margin0.2%0.2%2.9%0.2%4.3%
Operating Margin-7.3%-7.3%-5.7%-7.4%-0.6%
Net Margin-4.2%-4.2%-25.1%-6.8%-2.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-0.50-0.50-0.4651.020.97
Current Ratio0.680.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-85.0M$-85.0M$80.3M$-20.2M$454.4M
Returns
ROE13.1%13.1%100.7%-4802.5%-40.9%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA2.582.58——22.95
P/B———52.802.59
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.1%-11.1%-13.6%-6.0%—
EPS Growth——-219.9%-139.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -23.7%

Total return

-23.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-21.44 → n/d

Residual

-23.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-23.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.