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GEG$2.20+2.33%
Fair $2.20+0.0%

GEG

Great Elm Group, Inc.

Financial Services / Asset ManagementNasdaqGS

$2.20

+0.05 (+2.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.20Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 4/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 6Warnings: 0unknown: 6
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · GEGLocal privado en este navegador · Great Elm Group, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$69M

P/E

5.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.4x

↓

ROE

18.3%

↑

Gross Margin

-0.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.89

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

GEG price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.200Periodo -99.9%
Fair value: $2.200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2020–2025 · 5 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-22.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-55.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $16.3M · net income $12.9M · FCF $-9.0M

2020-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-0.7%— pts

Operating margin

-49.1%-45.4% pts

Net margin

79.0%+101.0% pts

FCF margin

-55.2%-76.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Income Statement
Revenue$16.3M$16.3M$17.8M$8.7M$4.5M$60.9M$59.0M
Net Income$12.9M$12.9M$-1.4M$27.7M$-14.9M$-7.3M$-13.0M
EBITDA$21.0M$21.0M$4.6M$21.9M$-13.2M$4.9M$8.6M
EPS0.380.38-0.050.73-0.56-0.28-0.51
Gross Margin-0.7%-0.7%5.5%-17.7%-46.5%——
Operating Margin-49.1%-49.1%-43.9%-129.4%-193.6%-6.1%-3.7%
Net Margin79.0%79.0%-7.8%320.1%-329.8%-12.0%-22.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.890.890.980.992.02——
Current Ratio13.1813.18—————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-9.0M$-9.0M$-15.6M$-2.4M$29.3M$-19.3M$12.5M
Returns
ROE18.3%18.3%-2.2%43.4%-44.5%-16.8%-21.3%
Valuation
P/E5.795.79—2.74———
EV/EBITDA5.395.3913.913.89———
P/B1.211.210.851.281.66——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.5%-8.5%105.9%91.8%—3.2%—
EPS Growth860.0%860.0%-106.8%230.4%—45.1%—
Dividend Yield48.8%48.8%—————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-19.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.20

Spread vs growth

879.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.24

Spread vs growth

869.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

0.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.38

Spread vs growth

860.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +55.1%

Total return

+55.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.05 → 0.38

Residual

+6.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+48.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+6.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.