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GEPA4.SA$38.30+2.11%
Fair $38.30+0.0%

GEPA4.SA

Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated ElectricSão Paulo

$38.30

+0.79 (+2.11%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $38.30Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 0/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $479.0M · quality 68.0/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 68/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · GEPA4.SALocal privado en este navegador · Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.6B

P/E

201.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

N/A

•

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.48

↓
52-Week Range$38
$31$43

TradingView lightweight chart

GEPA4.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $38.30Periodo +243.8%
Fair value: $38.30

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

—

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue — · net income — · FCF —

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

—— pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue——$1.39B$1.37B—
Net Income——$341.6M$243.2M—
EBITDA——$852.1M$803.7M—
EPS——3.622.58—
Gross Margin——57.3%60.8%—
Operating Margin——35.5%35.1%—
Net Margin——24.5%17.8%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.480.480.410.520.68
Current Ratio0.310.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow——$532.4M$425.6M—
Returns
ROE——18.7%13.0%—
Valuation
P/E201.58201.587.0210.09—
EV/EBITDA——3.204.00—
P/B2.272.271.321.311.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth——1.7%——
EPS Growth——40.5%——
Dividend Yield17.1%17.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +24.6%

Total return

+24.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

3.62 → n/d

Residual

+7.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+17.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+7.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.