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GGRP.JK$292.00+0.00%
Fair $292.00+0.0%

GGRP.JK

PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk

Basic Materials / SteelJakarta

$292.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $292.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.0M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -5.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GGRP.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.54T

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-5.6%

↓

Gross Margin

-12.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$292
$194$372

TradingView lightweight chart

GGRP.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $292.00Periodo -69.1%
Fair value: $292.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-41.7%

FCF CAGR

-60.2%

FCF margin

0.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $187.4M · net income $-36.8M · FCF $1.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-12.5%-21.9% pts

Operating margin

-23.2%-29.4% pts

Net margin

-19.7%-25.8% pts

FCF margin

0.6%-1.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$187.4M$187.4M$351.8M$463.9M$945.5M
Net Income$-36.8M$-36.8M$122.3M$37.3M$58.4M
EBITDA$-44.5M$-44.5M$23.4M$19.4M$85.4M
EPS——0.010.000.00
Gross Margin-12.5%-12.5%2.5%5.8%9.3%
Operating Margin-23.2%-23.2%-3.7%2.5%6.2%
Net Margin-19.7%-19.7%34.8%8.0%6.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.070.150.24
Current Ratio4.394.39———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.0M$1.0M$-45.1M$71.3M$16.6M
Returns
ROE-5.6%-5.6%17.7%4.4%7.2%
Valuation
P/E——25371.66151155.12106250.00
EV/EBITDA——132403.93286510.4672329.96
P/B5411.705411.704490.116575.697661.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-46.7%-46.7%-24.2%-50.9%—
EPS Growth——233.0%-36.9%—
Dividend Yield9.6%9.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +60.1%

Total return

+60.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.01 → n/d

Residual

+50.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+9.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+50.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.