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GHCL.NS$456.00-0.80%
Fair $456.00+0.0%

GHCL.NS

GHCL Limited

Basic Materials / ChemicalsNSE

$456.00

-3.70 (-0.80%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $456.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.2B · quality 75.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · GHCL.NSLocal privado en este navegador · GHCL Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$41.8B

P/E

9.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.7x

↓

ROE

13.3%

↑

Gross Margin

44.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$456
$419$667

TradingView lightweight chart

GHCL.NS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $456.00Periodo +3577.4%
Fair value: $456.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-12.3%

FCF CAGR

-5.3%

FCF margin

13.8%

FCF / Net income

0.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $30.64B · net income $4.72B · FCF $4.24B

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

44.3%-0.0% pts

Operating margin

18.9%-12.2% pts

Net margin

15.4%-9.7% pts

FCF margin

13.8%+2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$30.64B$30.64B$31.83B$34.36B$45.39B
Net Income$4.72B$4.72B$6.24B$7.94B$11.42B
EBITDA$7.62B$7.62B$9.64B$11.17B$16.32B
EPS50.1550.1565.3483.33120.06
Gross Margin44.3%44.3%47.7%39.6%44.3%
Operating Margin18.9%18.9%24.0%21.8%31.0%
Net Margin15.4%15.4%19.6%23.1%25.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.030.070.09
Current Ratio4.384.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.24B$4.24B$3.23B$6.91B$4.99B
Returns
ROE13.3%13.3%17.9%26.7%28.9%
Valuation
P/E9.099.099.345.994.30
EV/EBITDA5.695.696.074.403.16
P/B1.211.211.671.601.24
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.7%-3.7%-7.4%-24.3%—
EPS Growth-23.2%-23.2%-21.6%-30.6%—
Dividend Yield2.6%2.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$40.46

Spread vs growth

-16.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$48.96

Spread vs growth

-22.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$78.85

Spread vs growth

-27.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.4%

Total return

-24.4%

Start / end P/E

9.6x → 9.1x

EPS bridge

65.34 → 50.15

Residual

+1.1%

EPS growth-23.2%
Multiple rerating-4.9%
Dividend+2.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.