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GRR.AX$0.16+0.00%
Fair $0.16+0.0%

GRR.AX

Grange Resources Limited

Basic Materials / SteelASX

$0.16

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.16Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.9M · quality 44.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GRR.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Grange Resources Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$185M

P/E

4.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

0.8x

↓

ROE

4.2%

↑

Gross Margin

23.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

GRR.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.160Periodo -65.5%
Fair value: $0.160

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-7.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $477.9M · net income $46.6M · FCF $-21.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.7%-24.4% pts

Operating margin

11.5%-28.0% pts

Net margin

9.8%-19.1% pts

FCF margin

-4.6%+0.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$477.9M$477.9M$520.8M$614.7M$594.6M
Net Income$46.6M$46.6M$58.5M$150.1M$171.7M
EBITDA$117.0M$117.0M$132.8M$274.5M$276.7M
EPS0.040.040.050.130.15
Gross Margin23.7%23.7%22.8%44.8%48.1%
Operating Margin11.5%11.5%11.7%32.4%39.5%
Net Margin9.8%9.8%11.2%24.4%28.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.01
Current Ratio8.888.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-21.9M$-21.9M$40.1M$8.9M$-27.6M
Returns
ROE4.2%4.2%5.5%14.6%19.0%
Valuation
P/E4.004.004.073.826.20
EV/EBITDA0.780.781.261.703.48
P/B0.170.170.220.561.18
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.2%-8.2%-15.3%3.4%—
EPS Growth-20.4%-20.4%-61.1%-12.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-29.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

8.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-15.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

-4.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

-16.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.5%

Total return

-13.5%

Start / end P/E

3.7x → 4.0x

EPS bridge

0.05 → 0.04

Residual

-1.8%

EPS growth-20.4%
Multiple rerating+8.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.