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v0.1
HDFGS.IS$2.86+0.00%
Fair $2.86+0.0%

HDFGS.IS

Hedef Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S.

Financial Services / Asset ManagementIstanbul

$2.86

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.86Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 5/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · HDFGS.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Hedef Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

3.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.8x

↓

ROE

7.9%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$3
$1$6

TradingView lightweight chart

HDFGS.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.810Periodo +1481.1%
Fair value: $2.860

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.10B · net income $296.2M · FCF $-47.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

93.0%-3.6% pts

Net margin

26.9%-14.3% pts

FCF margin

-4.3%+16.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.10B$1.10B$584.1M$632.6M$1.01B
Net Income$296.2M$296.2M$-385.8M$-463.8M$415.9M
EBITDA$299.9M$299.9M$-381.3M$-462.8M$416.5M
EPS0.260.26-0.82-0.850.60
Operating Margin93.0%93.0%91.9%92.9%96.6%
Net Margin26.9%26.9%-66.0%-73.3%41.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio4.464.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-47.4M$-47.4M$691.6M$1.05B$-208.0M
Returns
ROE7.9%7.9%-13.8%-19.1%21.4%
Valuation
P/E3.923.92——3.32
EV/EBITDA10.7810.78——3.31
P/B0.860.860.400.510.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth88.2%88.2%-7.7%-37.3%—
EPS Growth131.7%131.7%3.9%-241.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.25

Spread vs growth

132.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.31

Spread vs growth

128.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.49

Spread vs growth

125.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +114.5%

Total return

+114.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.82 → 0.26

Residual

+114.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+114.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.