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HGH.AX$1.05+11.70%
Fair $1.05+0.0%

HGH.AX

Heartland Group Holdings Limited

Financial Services / Banks - RegionalASX

$1.05

+0.11 (+11.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.05Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 31.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 42/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HGH.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Heartland Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

15.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

3.2%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.69

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

HGH.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.050Periodo -28.6%
Fair value: $1.050

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

209.6%

FCF / Net income

17.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $319.1M · net income $38.8M · FCF $668.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

12.2%-23.8% pts

FCF margin

209.6%+312.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$319.1M$319.1M$288.5M$282.1M$264.3M
Net Income$38.8M$38.8M$74.5M$95.9M$95.1M
EPS0.040.040.100.140.16
Net Margin12.2%12.2%25.8%34.0%36.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.690.691.662.443.21
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$668.8M$668.8M$900.3M$18.0M$-272.1M
Returns
ROE3.2%3.2%6.0%9.3%11.8%
Valuation
P/E15.0015.008.9811.9510.41
P/B0.810.810.541.111.22
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.6%10.6%2.2%6.7%—
EPS Growth-58.0%-58.0%-27.8%-13.5%—
Dividend Yield6.3%6.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

31.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.09

Spread vs growth

-89.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

22.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.11

Spread vs growth

-80.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.18

Spread vs growth

-73.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +51.1%

Total return

+51.1%

Start / end P/E

7.4x → 25.4x

EPS bridge

0.10 → 0.04

Residual

-141.8%

EPS growth-58.0%
Multiple rerating+244.6%
Dividend+6.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-141.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.