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HILL.JK$16.00+6.67%
Fair $16.00+0.0%

HILL.JK

PT Hillcon Tbk

Basic Materials / Other Industrial Metals & MiningJakarta

$16.00

+1.00 (+6.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.00Fund rank 17/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 7/F
F-Score: 1/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-701.6B · quality 17.7/100

Data gap 17/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

7/100

F

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 4unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 6.26, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · HILL.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Hillcon Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$235.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-242.7%

↓

Gross Margin

-12.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

6.26

↑
52-Week Range$16
$13$298

TradingView lightweight chart

HILL.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.00Periodo -94.0%
Fair value: $16.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.46T · net income $-1.03T · FCF $199.60B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-12.1%-38.5% pts

Operating margin

-18.3%-40.1% pts

Net margin

-29.8%-39.1% pts

FCF margin

5.8%+15.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3455.80B$3455.80B$3946.08B$4045.75B$3265.51B
Net Income$-1031.33B$-1031.33B$5.49B$351.08B$301.03B
EBITDA$-1098.82B$-1098.82B$453.25B$692.97B$590.74B
EPS——0.4023.8020.42
Gross Margin-12.1%-12.1%13.8%21.4%26.4%
Operating Margin-18.3%-18.3%7.2%15.7%21.8%
Net Margin-29.8%-29.8%0.1%8.7%9.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity6.266.261.931.511.76
Current Ratio0.210.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$199.60B$199.60B$-701.57B$-1119.82B$-329.46B
Returns
ROE-242.7%-242.7%0.4%22.5%39.2%
Valuation
P/E——1170.0020.84—
EV/EBITDA——21.3413.80—
P/B0.550.554.724.69—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.4%-12.4%-2.5%23.9%—
EPS Growth——-98.3%16.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -94.6%

Total return

-94.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.40 → n/d

Residual

-94.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-94.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.