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HLI.AX$4.53-2.58%
Fair $4.53+0.0%

HLI.AX

Helia Group Limited

Financial Services / Insurance - SpecialtyASX

$4.53

-0.12 (-2.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.53Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 91.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 42/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · HLI.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Helia Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

5.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

24.0%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$5
$4$6

TradingView lightweight chart

HLI.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.530Periodo +29.2%
Fair value: $4.530

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.7%

FCF CAGR

+12.8%

FCF margin

22.5%

FCF / Net income

0.44x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $481.3M · net income $244.9M · FCF $108.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

50.9%+7.6% pts

FCF margin

22.5%+5.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$481.3M$481.3M$517.7M$576.3M$431.5M
Net Income$244.9M$244.9M$231.5M$275.1M$186.8M
EPS0.890.890.800.850.49
Net Margin50.9%50.9%44.7%47.7%43.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.180.170.13
Current Ratio24.8524.85———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$108.4M$108.4M$134.3M$-18.3M$75.5M
Returns
ROE24.0%24.0%21.4%24.1%13.1%
Valuation
P/E5.095.095.755.185.66
P/B1.221.221.231.250.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.0%-7.0%-10.2%33.6%—
EPS Growth11.9%11.9%-5.9%73.2%—
Dividend Yield7.1%7.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-23.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.40

Spread vs growth

35.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.49

Spread vs growth

23.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.78

Spread vs growth

13.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.5%

Total return

-5.5%

Start / end P/E

6.5x → 5.1x

EPS bridge

0.80 → 0.89

Residual

-2.6%

EPS growth+11.9%
Multiple rerating-21.9%
Dividend+7.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.