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Recent

v0.1
HNVR$23.03+2.81%
Fair $20.68-10.2%

HNVR

Hanover Bancorp, Inc.

Financial Services / Banks - RegionalNasdaqGS

$23.03

+0.63 (+2.81%)

Fairly Valued-10.2%Fair Value $20.68Fund rank 57/100 · PassSEC 6/6 yrs|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

$22.45

-0.8% CAGR · P/B 0.8x

Book/ROE base 5Y

$23.75

+0.6% base · +3.6% expected

Precio de entrada

$11.17

MOS 17% · confianza 92%

Book/ROE escenarios

audited · book/share $27.57 · quality 33.0/100

Pass 57/100
Bear 5Y$9.71-15.9%
Base 5Y$23.75+0.6%
Bull 5Y$52.76+18.0%
Return 50/100Downside 31/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 99/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

40/100

-10.2% upside

5Y CAGR

+3.6%

64/100

Data QA

90/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 6Warnings: 1sec-companyfacts: 6
Generic DCF/FCF bypassed: financial balance-sheet sector valued with a sector-specific Book/ROE model. ROE is 3.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HNVRLocal privado en este navegador · Hanover Bancorp, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$165M

P/E

23.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

3.7%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.68

↑
52-Week Range$23
$20$24

TradingView lightweight chart

HNVR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $23.03Periodo +9.1%
Buy zone: $11.17Bear 5Y: $9.710Fair value: $20.68Base 5Y: $23.75Bull 5Y: $52.76

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2020–2025 · 5 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

16.6%

FCF / Net income

1.63x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $73.3M · net income $7.5M · FCF $12.2M

2020-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

10.2%-2.2% pts

FCF margin

16.6%+17.9% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$73.3M$73.3M$68.4M$63.3M$70.1M$48.7M$40.1M
Net Income$7.5M$7.5M$12.3M$15.2M$23.6M$10.9M$5.0M
EPS1.001.001.662.053.682.281.18
Net Margin10.2%10.2%18.0%23.9%33.6%22.3%12.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.680.680.721.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$12.2M$12.2M$4.1M$13.0M$24.0M$11.1M$-527000.00
Returns
ROE3.7%3.7%6.3%8.2%13.6%8.9%6.4%
Valuation
P/E23.2723.2714.0211.356.3210.2119.72
P/B0.840.840.850.890.830.891.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.1%7.1%8.0%-9.7%44.1%21.3%—
EPS Growth-39.8%-39.8%-19.0%-44.3%61.4%93.2%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%—————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

26.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.04

Spread vs growth

-66.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.47

Spread vs growth

-59.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.98

Spread vs growth

-54.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +5.0%

Total return

+5.0%

Start / end P/E

13.4x → 23.0x

EPS bridge

1.66 → 1.00

Residual

-28.4%

EPS growth-39.8%
Multiple rerating+71.4%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.