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HWBK$36.48-0.57%
Fair $36.48+0.0%

HWBK

Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc.

Financial Services / Banks - RegionalNasdaqGS

$36.48

-0.21 (-0.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $36.48Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 55.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · HWBKLocal privado en este navegador · Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$252M

P/E

10.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

13.7%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.89

↑
52-Week Range$36
$27$37

TradingView lightweight chart

HWBK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $36.48Periodo +161.2%
Fair value: $36.48

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.5%

FCF CAGR

+7.3%

FCF margin

28.4%

FCF / Net income

0.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $80.3M · net income $23.8M · FCF $22.8M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

29.6%+21.8% pts

FCF margin

28.4%+16.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$80.3M$80.3M$72.9M$55.1M$72.7M$64.5M$63.0M$64.0M$57.8M$50.9M$46.0M$45.8M$44.5M$45.7M$49.1M$53.5M$58.7M$63.6M
Net Income$23.8M$23.8M$18.3M$956000.00$20.8M$22.5M$14.3M$16.1M$10.7M$3.4M$7.3M$8.6M$7.7M$5.0M$2.8M$2.9M$-3.6M$5.0M
EPS——2.610.142.943.151.962.201.520.501.101.301.200.710.180.15-0.950.51
Net Margin29.6%29.6%25.0%1.7%28.5%34.9%22.7%25.2%18.5%6.7%15.8%18.8%17.2%10.9%5.7%5.3%-6.0%7.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.890.890.891.161.17—————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$22.8M$22.8M$22.6M$15.5M$17.7M$29.6M$19.2M$17.2M$14.0M$11.2M$12.3M———$13.5M$17.4M$20.9M$7.4M
Returns
ROE13.7%13.7%12.2%0.7%16.3%15.1%10.9%14.0%10.8%3.7%8.0%9.9%9.5%6.7%3.1%2.8%-3.5%4.6%
Valuation
P/E10.4510.4511.29177.647.37—————————————
P/B1.441.441.381.251.20—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.1%10.1%32.2%-24.2%—2.3%-1.5%10.7%13.4%10.7%0.6%2.8%-2.6%-7.0%-8.1%-9.0%-7.6%—
EPS Growth——1764.3%-95.2%—60.6%-10.9%45.1%203.7%-54.6%-15.2%8.1%68.8%300.0%22.4%115.4%-286.9%—
Dividend Yield2.3%2.3%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +28.8%

Total return

+28.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.61 → n/d

Residual

+26.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+26.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.