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v0.1
ICE$152.97+0.00%
Fair $46.77-69.4%

ICE

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

Financial Services / Financial Data & Stock ExchangesNYSE

$152.97

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Significantly Overvalued-69.4%Fair Value $46.77Fund rank 40/100 · PassSEC 15/15 yrs|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 7/9
Significantly Overvalued

Book/ROE base 3Y

$57.82

-27.7% CAGR · P/B 0.9x

Book/ROE base 5Y

$66.76

-15.3% base · -12.5% expected

Precio de entrada

$31.30

MOS 17% · confianza 91%

Book/ROE escenarios

audited · book/share $50.29 · quality 40.0/100

Pass 40/100
Bear 5Y$22.13-32.1%
Base 5Y$66.76-15.3%
Bull 5Y$157.93+0.6%
Return 0/100Downside 0/100Model quality 97/100Data QA 100/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

0/100

-69.4% upside

5Y CAGR

-12.5%

0/100

Data QA

90/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 15Warnings: 1sec-companyfacts: 15
Generic DCF/FCF bypassed: financial balance-sheet sector valued with a sector-specific Book/ROE model. Ignored inconsistent direct book value per share; SEC/provider per-share units appear mismatched with market-cap-implied share class. Estimated downside of 69.4% from current price
Thesis & Journal · ICELocal privado en este navegador · Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$86.5B

P/E

26.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

11.5%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.68

↑
No hay histórico de precio usable para pintar el gráfico TradingView.

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2011–2025 · 14 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.5%

FCF CAGR

+14.4%

FCF margin

33.9%

FCF / Net income

1.29x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.64B · net income $3.31B · FCF $4.29B

2011-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

39.0%-20.8% pts

Net margin

26.2%-12.2% pts

FCF margin

33.9%-15.5% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$12.64B$12.64B$11.76B$9.90B$9.64B$9.17B$8.24B$6.55B$6.28B$5.84B$5.97B$3.34B$4.35B$1.73B$1.36B$1.33B
Net Income$3.31B$3.31B$2.75B$2.37B$1.45B$4.06B$2.09B$1.93B$1.99B$2.53B$1.43B$1.27B$981.0M$254.0M$552.0M$510.0M
EBITDA$6.49B$6.49B$5.85B$4.91B$4.67B$4.46B$3.78B$3.33B$3.17B$2.91B$2.78B$2.12B$1.78B$946.0M$958.0M$925.0M
EPS5.775.774.784.192.587.183.773.423.434.252.392.281.713.217.526.90
Operating Margin39.0%39.0%36.6%37.3%37.8%37.6%36.8%40.8%41.2%40.7%36.4%52.4%33.3%45.7%60.7%59.8%
Net Margin26.2%26.2%23.4%23.9%15.0%44.3%25.3%29.5%31.7%43.2%23.9%38.2%22.5%14.7%40.5%38.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.680.680.740.880.800.610.850.450.430.360.400.490.350.410.31—
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.29B$4.29B$4.20B$3.35B$3.33B$2.94B$2.67B$2.51B$2.40B$1.86B$1.90B$1.12B$1.29B$580.0M$701.0M$656.0M
Returns
ROE11.5%11.5%10.0%9.2%6.4%17.9%10.7%11.2%11.6%14.9%9.1%8.6%7.9%2.1%15.1%16.1%
Valuation
P/E26.5126.5132.0036.5159.2921.3140.5844.7344.6035.9964.0067.0989.4647.6520.3422.17
P/B3.043.043.193.363.783.814.355.015.155.365.835.777.090.983.063.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.5%7.5%18.8%2.8%5.1%11.2%25.9%4.3%7.4%-2.1%78.9%-23.3%151.6%26.9%2.7%—
EPS Growth20.7%20.7%14.1%62.4%-64.1%90.5%10.2%-0.3%-19.3%77.8%4.8%33.3%-46.7%-57.3%9.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

33.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$13.57

Spread vs growth

-12.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

23.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$16.42

Spread vs growth

-2.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$26.45

Spread vs growth

4.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total n/d
Return attribution requires positive start and end prices.

Unavailable: positive start/end prices are required.