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ISP.MI$5.76+1.19%
Fair $5.76+0.0%

ISP.MI

Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A.

Financial Services / Banks - RegionalMilan

$5.76

+0.07 (+1.19%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.76Fund rank 17/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 6/9
High Debt

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 51.0/100

Data gap 17/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 0/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.14, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · ISP.MILocal privado en este navegador · Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$100.4B

P/E

10.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

14.3%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

2.14

↑
52-Week Range$6
$5$6

TradingView lightweight chart

ISP.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.762Periodo +66.4%
Fair value: $5.762

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.8%

FCF CAGR

-59.7%

FCF margin

23.1%

FCF / Net income

0.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $28.53B · net income $9.32B · FCF $6.58B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

32.7%+12.4% pts

FCF margin

23.1%-442.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$28.53B$28.53B$27.69B$25.42B$21.57B
Net Income$9.32B$9.32B$8.67B$7.72B$4.38B
EPS0.530.530.490.420.23
Net Margin32.7%32.7%31.3%30.4%20.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.142.142.252.221.61
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.58B$6.58B$-41.86B$-18.99B$100.43B
Returns
ROE14.3%14.3%13.3%12.1%7.2%
Valuation
P/E10.6710.678.236.649.71
P/B1.551.551.090.800.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.0%3.0%8.9%17.9%—
EPS Growth8.7%8.7%16.1%82.6%—
Dividend Yield6.7%6.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.51

Spread vs growth

9.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.62

Spread vs growth

5.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.00

Spread vs growth

2.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +24.5%

Total return

+24.5%

Start / end P/E

10.0x → 10.9x

EPS bridge

0.49 → 0.53

Residual

+0.7%

EPS growth+8.7%
Multiple rerating+8.3%
Dividend+6.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.