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KEEN.JK$865.00+1.17%
Fair $865.00+0.0%

KEEN.JK

PT Kencana Energi Lestari Tbk

Utilities / Utilities - Independent Power ProducersJakarta

$865.00

+10.00 (+1.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $865.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.8M · quality 67.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 65/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 4.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · KEEN.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Kencana Energi Lestari Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.17T

P/E

24.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

179665.4x

↑

ROE

4.4%

↑

Gross Margin

64.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.60

↓
52-Week Range$865
$765$1490

TradingView lightweight chart

KEEN.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $865.00Periodo +46.6%
Fair value: $865.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.4%

FCF CAGR

+25.8%

FCF margin

38.7%

FCF / Net income

1.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $34.3M · net income $7.8M · FCF $13.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

64.4%-0.4% pts

Operating margin

55.2%-2.3% pts

Net margin

22.6%-7.4% pts

FCF margin

38.7%+22.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$34.3M$34.3M$37.9M$48.0M$41.8M
Net Income$7.8M$7.8M$6.2M$12.9M$12.6M
EBITDA$17.7M$17.7M$17.9M$25.0M$24.1M
EPS——0.000.000.00
Gross Margin64.4%64.4%58.2%58.1%64.8%
Operating Margin55.2%55.2%47.6%50.2%57.5%
Net Margin22.6%22.6%16.5%26.9%30.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.600.600.640.670.59
Current Ratio1.671.67———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$13.3M$13.3M$5.2M$8.8M$6.7M
Returns
ROE4.4%4.4%3.7%7.9%8.2%
Valuation
P/E24.2624.26341176.47225714.29176470.59
EV/EBITDA179665.40179665.40118610.61115910.2691207.61
P/B18156.6418156.6412589.4117613.5814371.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.3%-9.3%-21.1%14.8%—
EPS Growth——-51.4%2.9%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.7%

Total return

+2.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.00 → n/d

Residual

+1.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.