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LCFS.TO$11.69+2.63%
Fair $11.69+0.0%

LCFS.TO

Tidewater Renewables Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsToronto

$11.69

+0.30 (+2.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.69Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $20.6M · quality 38.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 2.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · LCFS.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Tidewater Renewables Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$427M

P/E

53.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.6x

↑

ROE

2.3%

↑

Gross Margin

14.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.28

↑
52-Week Range$12
$2$13

TradingView lightweight chart

LCFS.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.69Periodo -21.3%
Fair value: $11.69

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+48.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

8.3%

FCF / Net income

5.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $248.0M · net income $3.5M · FCF $20.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.4%-46.2% pts

Operating margin

5.0%-18.1% pts

Net margin

1.4%-32.7% pts

FCF margin

8.3%+241.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$248.0M$248.0M$426.5M$97.7M$76.1M
Net Income$3.5M$3.5M$-357.9M$-41.0M$25.9M
EBITDA$40.6M$40.6M$-405.0M$-16.4M$62.5M
EPS0.090.09-10.15-1.180.74
Gross Margin14.4%14.4%27.7%45.1%60.6%
Operating Margin5.0%5.0%18.2%4.1%23.2%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%-83.9%-42.0%34.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.281.281.280.680.40
Current Ratio1.131.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$20.6M$20.6M$30.6M$-180.0M$-177.1M
Returns
ROE2.3%2.3%-236.7%-8.1%4.8%
Valuation
P/E53.1453.14——15.38
EV/EBITDA15.5915.59——9.68
P/B2.792.790.190.590.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-41.9%-41.9%336.6%28.4%—
EPS Growth100.9%100.9%-760.2%-259.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

125.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.04

Spread vs growth

-25.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

69.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.26

Spread vs growth

31.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

36.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.02

Spread vs growth

64.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +356.6%

Total return

+356.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-10.15 → 0.09

Residual

+356.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+356.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.