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LUC.TO$0.19+0.00%
Fair $0.19+0.0%

LUC.TO

Lucara Diamond Corp.

Basic Materials / Other Precious Metals & MiningToronto

$0.19

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.19Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-47.5M · quality 39.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · LUC.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Lucara Diamond Corp.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$283M

P/E

2.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.2x

↓

ROE

8.3%

↑

Gross Margin

32.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.83

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

LUC.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.190Periodo -24.0%
Fair value: $0.190

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-29.7%

FCF / Net income

-1.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $159.7M · net income $26.1M · FCF $-47.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.0%-7.7% pts

Operating margin

20.7%-8.3% pts

Net margin

16.4%-2.6% pts

FCF margin

-29.7%-66.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$159.7M$159.7M$203.9M$172.4M$212.9M
Net Income$26.1M$26.1M$39.9M$-20.2M$40.4M
EBITDA$52.1M$52.1M$66.6M$49.2M$93.9M
EPS0.060.060.08-0.040.09
Gross Margin32.0%32.0%41.4%36.2%39.7%
Operating Margin20.7%20.7%32.7%23.1%29.0%
Net Margin16.4%16.4%19.6%-11.7%19.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.830.830.810.570.29
Current Ratio11.2611.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-47.5M$-47.5M$-38.7M$-52.3M$77.2M
Returns
ROE8.3%8.3%14.7%-8.3%15.0%
Valuation
P/E2.712.715.75—5.89
EV/EBITDA6.176.176.216.133.16
P/B0.280.280.790.730.91
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.7%-21.7%18.3%-19.0%—
EPS Growth-25.0%-25.0%300.0%-144.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-34.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

9.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-19.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

-5.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

-19.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.0%

Total return

-24.0%

Start / end P/E

3.1x → 3.2x

EPS bridge

0.08 → 0.06

Residual

-0.3%

EPS growth-25.0%
Multiple rerating+1.3%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.