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v0.1
MATH$1.07+1.90%
Fair $1.07+0.0%

MATH

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited

Financial Services / Capital MarketsNasdaqCM

$1.07

+0.02 (+1.90%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.07Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 7/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · MATHLocal privado en este navegador · Metalpha Technology Holding Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$46M

P/E

5.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.1x

↓

ROE

43.5%

↑

Gross Margin

43.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$4

TradingView lightweight chart

MATH price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.070Periodo -92.2%
Fair value: $1.070

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+613.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.1%

FCF / Net income

0.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $44.6M · net income $15.9M · FCF $24681.0

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.7%+438.1% pts

Operating margin

40.3%+2688.7% pts

Net margin

35.7%+11802.9% pts

FCF margin

0.1%+3907.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$44.6M$44.6M$16.8M$5.7M$122711.00
Net Income$15.9M$15.9M$-3.7M$-20.6M$-14.4M
EBITDA$16.1M$16.1M$-3.6M$-11.6M$-9.1M
EPS0.410.41-0.11-0.45-0.79
Gross Margin43.7%43.7%26.8%23.1%-394.4%
Operating Margin40.3%40.3%7.9%-27.1%-2648.4%
Net Margin35.7%35.7%-21.9%-361.1%-11767.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.300.020.03
Current Ratio1.091.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$24681.00$24681.00$-11.6M$-1.1M$-4.8M
Returns
ROE43.5%43.5%-21.8%-239.1%-112.9%
Valuation
P/E5.945.94———
EV/EBITDA2.142.14———
P/B1.131.133.342.921.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth165.9%165.9%194.5%4538.6%—
EPS Growth472.7%472.7%75.6%43.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-38.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.09

Spread vs growth

511.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-22.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.11

Spread vs growth

495.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.19

Spread vs growth

480.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -66.8%

Total return

-66.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.11 → 0.41

Residual

-66.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-66.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.