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Financial Analysis

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v0.1
MCM.MC$13.75-0.72%
Fair $13.75+0.0%

MCM.MC

Miquel y Costas & Miquel, S.A.

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsMCE

$13.75

-0.10 (-0.72%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.75Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $43.2M · quality 50.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · MCM.MCLocal privado en este navegador · Miquel y Costas & Miquel, S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$515M

P/E

11.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.1x

↓

ROE

11.1%

↑

Gross Margin

63.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$14
$13$15

TradingView lightweight chart

MCM.MC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.75Periodo +27.7%
Fair value: $13.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.8%

FCF / Net income

0.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $313.8M · net income $45.1M · FCF $12.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

63.5%-5.2% pts

Operating margin

17.4%+4.9% pts

Net margin

14.4%+5.0% pts

FCF margin

3.8%+9.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$313.8M$313.8M$309.2M$309.3M$337.2M
Net Income$45.1M$45.1M$48.7M$42.7M$31.6M
EBITDA$78.7M$78.7M$83.3M$76.5M$59.7M
EPS1.191.191.281.110.82
Gross Margin63.5%63.5%65.6%62.5%68.7%
Operating Margin17.4%17.4%19.5%17.9%12.5%
Net Margin14.4%14.4%15.8%13.8%9.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.140.150.17
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$12.0M$12.0M$43.2M$53.1M$-19.1M
Returns
ROE11.1%11.1%12.6%12.0%9.6%
Valuation
P/E11.5511.559.7710.4714.44
EV/EBITDA7.077.076.226.278.54
P/B1.281.281.241.261.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.5%1.5%-0.0%-8.3%—
EPS Growth-7.0%-7.0%15.3%35.4%—
Dividend Yield3.6%3.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

0.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.22

Spread vs growth

-7.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.48

Spread vs growth

-11.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.38

Spread vs growth

-14.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.8%

Total return

+1.8%

Start / end P/E

10.9x → 11.6x

EPS bridge

1.28 → 1.19

Residual

-0.4%

EPS growth-7.0%
Multiple rerating+5.6%
Dividend+3.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.