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MDI.WA$2.31+1.85%
Fair $2.31+0.0%

MDI.WA

MDI Energia S.A.

Utilities / Utilities - Independent Power ProducersWarsaw

$2.31

+0.05 (+1.85%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.31Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $12.1M · quality 64.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 52/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MDI.WALocal privado en este navegador · MDI Energia S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$97M

P/E

33.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.1x

↑

ROE

19.5%

↑

Gross Margin

4.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$2
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

MDI.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.750Periodo -97.3%
Fair value: $2.310

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.8%

FCF CAGR

-9.8%

FCF margin

4.7%

FCF / Net income

3.74x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $256.1M · net income $3.2M · FCF $12.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

4.4%+3.5% pts

Operating margin

2.4%+4.6% pts

Net margin

1.3%+6.0% pts

FCF margin

4.7%-3.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$256.1M$256.1M$201.3M$172.4M$198.7M
Net Income$3.2M$3.2M$-3.2M$-3.0M$-9.5M
EBITDA$4.7M$4.7M$-3.1M$-1.5M$-8.1M
EPS——-0.07-0.07-0.21
Gross Margin4.4%4.4%1.4%3.8%0.9%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%-1.0%-0.4%-2.2%
Net Margin1.3%1.3%-1.6%-1.8%-4.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.010.551.46
Current Ratio1.261.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$12.1M$12.1M$8.5M$20.4M$16.5M
Returns
ROE19.5%19.5%-23.9%-18.4%-48.5%
Valuation
P/E33.0033.00———
EV/EBITDA17.1017.10———
P/B5.865.864.635.354.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth27.3%27.3%16.7%-13.2%—
EPS Growth——0.0%66.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +105.2%

Total return

+105.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.07 → n/d

Residual

+105.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+105.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.