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MDKI.JK$178.00+2.89%
Fair $178.00+0.0%

MDKI.JK

PT Emdeki Utama Tbk

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsJakartaID

$178.00

+5.00 (+2.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $178.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $50.1B · quality 62.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: eodhdPeriods: 13Warnings: 2eodhd: 13
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MDKI.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Emdeki Utama Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$450.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

3.5%

↑

Gross Margin

23.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$178
$151$270

TradingView lightweight chart

MDKI.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $178.00Periodo -57.0%
Fair value: $178.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2013–2025 · 12 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

11.6%

FCF / Net income

1.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $319.17B · net income $34.41B · FCF $37.16B

2013-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.4%+8.5% pts

Operating margin

11.4%+4.5% pts

Net margin

10.8%+6.8% pts

FCF margin

11.6%+53.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Income Statement
Revenue$319.17B$319.17B$344.46B$470.70B$486.88B$397.31B$349.98B$349.58B$399.19B$368.17B$339.99B$304.39B$284.17B$236.57B
Net Income$34.41B$34.41B$27.55B$47.80B$37.95B$38.71B$39.84B$32.46B$33.51B$46.85B$86.69B$5.63B$4.36B$9.31B
EBITDA$55.12B$55.12B$54.26B$79.55B$65.29B$62.46B$65.31B$57.78B$58.58B$71.98B$98.60B$35.52B$30.40B$25.89B
EPS13.6013.6010.8918.8915.0015.3015.7512.8313.2414.4534.262.222.074.43
Gross Margin23.4%23.4%21.0%22.5%20.1%21.5%24.2%22.8%19.6%23.7%32.9%6.6%7.7%14.9%
Operating Margin11.4%11.4%8.6%11.9%9.5%9.6%13.4%10.0%9.3%15.0%24.6%-4.0%0.6%6.9%
Net Margin10.8%10.8%8.0%10.2%7.8%9.7%11.4%9.3%8.4%12.7%25.5%1.8%1.5%3.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.020.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.710.950.96
Current Ratio9.019.0111.486.155.387.869.287.057.024.452.121.091.061.42
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$37.16B$37.16B$50.14B$60.29B$-20.45B$23.49B$58.84B$25.73B$24.93B$-1.60B$84.76B$37.12B$-18.23B$-98.20B
Returns
ROE3.5%3.5%2.9%5.0%4.1%4.4%4.6%4.0%4.1%6.3%36.8%4.4%3.5%7.4%
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.3%-7.3%-26.8%-3.3%22.5%13.5%0.1%-12.4%8.4%8.3%11.7%7.1%20.1%—
EPS Growth24.9%24.9%-42.4%25.9%-2.0%-2.8%22.7%-3.1%-8.4%-57.8%1440.1%7.3%-53.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

5.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$15.79

Spread vs growth

19.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

7.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$19.11

Spread vs growth

17.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$30.78

Spread vs growth

16.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.9%

Total return

+7.9%

Start / end P/E

15.2x → 13.1x

EPS bridge

10.89 → 13.60

Residual

-3.4%

EPS growth+24.9%
Multiple rerating-13.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.