StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
MERC$0.92-1.08%
Fair $0.92+0.0%

MERC

Mercer International Inc.

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsNasdaqGS

$0.92

-0.01 (-1.08%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.92Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 8/F
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-80.0M · quality 16.7/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

8/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 15Warnings: 2unknown: 15
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 23.89, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -7.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MERCLocal privado en este navegador · Mercer International Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$62M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-731.5%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

23.89

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$4

TradingView lightweight chart

MERC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.920Periodo -81.4%
Fair value: $0.919

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2011–2025 · 14 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.3%

FCF / Net income

0.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.87B · net income $-497.9M · FCF $-80.0M

2011-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

-9.7%-23.1% pts

Net margin

-26.7%-32.7% pts

FCF margin

-4.3%-13.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Income Statement
Revenue$1.87B$1.87B$2.04B$1.99B$2.28B$1.80B$1.42B$1.62B$1.46B$1.17B$931.6M$946.2M$1.07B$996.2M$979.8M$1.16B
Net Income$-497.9M$-497.9M$-85.1M$-242.1M$247.0M$171.0M$-17.2M$-9.6M$128.6M$70.5M$34.9M$75.5M$113.2M$-26.4M$-15.7M$69.7M
EBITDA$-236.3M$-236.3M$193.0M$-9.1M$561.0M$478.8M$192.7M$210.4M$364.6M$253.8M$187.1M$234.0M$239.8M$110.3M$137.7M$232.6M
EPS-7.44-7.44-1.27-3.653.712.58-0.26-0.151.961.080.541.171.81-0.47-0.281.24
Gross Margin—————————————9.0%11.5%18.0%
Operating Margin-9.7%-9.7%3.6%-7.8%17.2%19.2%4.5%5.2%18.4%14.4%12.4%17.5%15.1%3.2%6.4%13.4%
Net Margin-26.7%-26.7%-4.2%-12.1%10.8%9.5%-1.2%-0.6%8.8%6.0%3.8%8.0%10.5%-2.6%-1.6%6.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity23.8923.893.472.561.631.781.971.981.791.201.631.671.512.562.26—
Current Ratio2.172.17——————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-80.0M$-80.0M$5.9M$-205.3M$181.9M$22.8M$-37.0M$112.2M$149.7M$84.0M$98.3M$112.7M$110.0M$-9.4M$11.9M$102.0M
Returns
ROE-731.5%-731.5%-19.8%-38.1%29.5%24.6%-2.9%-1.8%22.1%12.8%9.2%19.7%25.8%-7.3%-4.0%—
Valuation
P/E————3.27———————————
EV/EBITDA——9.04—3.24———————————
P/B0.900.901.020.940.96———————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.6%-8.6%2.5%-12.6%—26.7%-12.4%11.4%24.7%25.5%-1.5%-11.9%7.8%1.7%-15.3%—
EPS Growth-485.8%-485.8%65.2%-198.4%—1092.3%-73.3%-107.7%81.5%100.0%-53.8%-35.4%485.1%-67.9%-122.6%—
Dividend Yield16.0%16.0%——————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -58.3%

Total return

-58.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.27 → -7.44

Residual

-74.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+16.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-74.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.