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MGX.AX$0.35+0.00%
Fair $0.35+0.0%

MGX.AX

MGX Resources Limited

Basic Materials / SteelASX

$0.35

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.35Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 65/B
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $56.1M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

65/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 1.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MGX.AXLocal privado en este navegador · MGX Resources Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$419M

P/E

67.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.4x

↓

ROE

1.2%

↑

Gross Margin

31.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

MGX.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.355Periodo +186.3%
Fair value: $0.355

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+30.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

40.0%

FCF / Net income

41.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $667.8M · net income $6.4M · FCF $267.3M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

31.5%-4.0% pts

Operating margin

23.5%+0.0% pts

Net margin

1.0%-20.3% pts

FCF margin

40.0%+56.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$667.8M$667.8M$452.7M$186.1M$300.5M
Net Income$6.4M$6.4M$5.2M$-174.1M$64.0M
EBITDA$90.8M$90.8M$58.7M$-217.4M$114.7M
EPS0.010.010.00-0.150.05
Gross Margin31.5%31.5%30.2%-0.3%35.5%
Operating Margin23.5%23.5%21.4%-25.5%23.5%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%1.1%-93.6%21.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.040.020.03
Current Ratio6.376.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$267.3M$267.3M$56.1M$-197.3M$-49.9M
Returns
ROE1.2%1.2%1.0%-32.7%8.9%
Valuation
P/E66.9866.9896.51—17.06
EV/EBITDA4.444.447.96—8.85
P/B0.780.780.931.131.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth47.5%47.5%143.2%-38.1%—
EPS Growth23.3%23.3%103.0%-367.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

81.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

-57.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

48.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

-25.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

27.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

-4.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +26.8%

Total return

+26.8%

Start / end P/E

65.1x → 67.0x

EPS bridge

0.00 → 0.01

Residual

+0.7%

EPS growth+23.3%
Multiple rerating+2.9%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.