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MLCI$3.13-1.57%
Fair $3.13+0.0%

MLCI

Mount Logan Capital Inc.

Financial Services / Asset ManagementNasdaqGM

$3.13

-0.05 (-1.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.13Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -66.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MLCILocal privado en este navegador · Mount Logan Capital Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$35M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-66.9%

↓

Gross Margin

22.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.03

↑
52-Week Range$3
$3$9

TradingView lightweight chart

MLCI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.130Periodo -91.1%
Fair value: $3.130

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+24.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-23.1%

FCF / Net income

0.36x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $96.0M · net income $-60.8M · FCF $-22.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.3%-35.2% pts

Operating margin

-35.2%-50.9% pts

Net margin

-63.4%-159.2% pts

FCF margin

-23.1%-258.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$96.0M$96.0M$96.9M$214.7M$50.4M
Net Income$-60.8M$-60.8M$-10.4M$-16.5M$48.3M
EBITDA$-32.5M$-32.5M$3.0M$-8.8M$52.9M
EPS-7.08-7.08-1.70-0.692.15
Gross Margin22.3%22.3%28.7%21.0%57.5%
Operating Margin-35.2%-35.2%-3.0%5.9%15.8%
Net Margin-63.4%-63.4%-10.7%-7.7%95.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.031.030.861.470.89
Current Ratio2.822.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-22.2M$-22.2M$-37.8M$101.3M$118.8M
Returns
ROE-66.9%-66.9%-10.0%-31.7%77.6%
Valuation
P/E————2.47
EV/EBITDA——8.79—2.06
P/B0.300.300.211.941.92
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.9%-0.9%-54.9%325.9%—
EPS Growth-316.5%-316.5%-146.4%-132.1%—
Dividend Yield3.9%3.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -18.3%

Total return

-18.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.70 → -7.08

Residual

-22.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-22.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.