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MOGAN.IS$12.90+2.14%
Fair $12.90+0.0%

MOGAN.IS

MOGAN.IS

Utilities / Utilities - RenewableIstanbul

$12.90

+0.27 (+2.14%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.90Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.6B · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 46/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

8/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 2Warnings: 1unknown: 2
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Limited financial history; valuation confidence should be treated as provisional. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -4.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MOGAN.ISLocal privado en este navegador · MOGAN.IS
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$31.5B

P/E

16.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.4x

↑

ROE

-4.0%

↓

Gross Margin

27.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.99

↑
52-Week Range$13
$8$16

TradingView lightweight chart

MOGAN.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.90Periodo -24.4%
Fair value: $12.90

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2022 · 1 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+229.9%

FCF CAGR

+7376.5%

FCF margin

47.7%

FCF / Net income

-5.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.84B · net income $-950.3M · FCF $5.18B

2021-FY → 2022-FY

Gross margin

27.7%-7.4% pts

Operating margin

27.2%-6.2% pts

Net margin

-8.8%-60.6% pts

FCF margin

47.7%+45.6% pts
MetricTTM
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$10.84B$10.84B$3.29B
Net Income$-950.3M$-950.3M$1.70B
EBITDA$4.25B$4.25B$2.00B
EPS-0.39-0.390.70
Gross Margin27.7%27.7%35.1%
Operating Margin27.2%27.2%33.5%
Net Margin-8.8%-8.8%51.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.990.990.93
Current Ratio0.220.22—
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.18B$5.18B$69.2M
Returns
ROE-4.0%-4.0%8.4%
Valuation
P/E16.1316.13—
EV/EBITDA12.4012.40—
P/B1.321.32—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth229.9%229.9%—
EPS Growth-155.8%-155.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +60.2%

Total return

+60.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.70 → -0.39

Residual

+60.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+60.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.