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v0.1
MSBI$27.49-1.12%
Fair $27.49+0.0%

MSBI

Midland States Bancorp, Inc.

Financial Services / Banks - RegionalNasdaqGS

$27.49

-0.31 (-1.12%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $27.49Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 34.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 79/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 12Warnings: 1unknown: 12
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -22.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MSBILocal privado en este navegador · Midland States Bancorp, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$570M

P/E

22.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-22.0%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.67

↑
52-Week Range$27
$14$29

TradingView lightweight chart

MSBI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $27.49Periodo +25.5%
Fair value: $27.49

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2014–2025 · 11 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

41.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $290.4M · net income $-124.3M · FCF $120.3M

2014-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

-42.8%— pts

FCF margin

41.4%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Income Statement
Revenue$290.4M$290.4M$356.3M$340.2M$380.5M————————
Net Income$-124.3M$-124.3M$38.0M$61.2M$100.2M$81.3M$22.5M$55.8M$39.4M$16.1M$31.5M$24.3M$10.8M
EPS1.011.01-1.052.334.283.570.952.261.660.872.172.000.53
Net Margin-42.8%-42.8%10.7%18.0%26.3%————————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.670.670.600.850.79————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$120.3M$120.3M$169.6M$144.6M$282.3M$331.7M$496.6M$533.1M$89.9M$64.3M$21.9M$67.2M—
Returns
ROE-22.0%-22.0%5.4%8.6%13.2%13.5%3.6%8.4%6.5%3.6%9.8%10.4%4.9%
Valuation
P/E22.9122.91—11.706.31————————
P/B1.061.060.730.840.80————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-18.5%-18.5%4.7%-10.6%—————————
EPS Growth196.2%196.2%-145.1%-45.6%—275.8%-58.0%36.1%90.8%-59.9%8.5%277.4%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

34.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.44

Spread vs growth

162.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

23.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.95

Spread vs growth

172.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.75

Spread vs growth

179.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +67.5%

Total return

+67.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.05 → 1.01

Residual

+62.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+62.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.