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NDT.MI$4.14+2.48%
Fair $4.14+0.0%

NDT.MI

Neodecortech S.p.A.

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsMilan

$4.14

+0.10 (+2.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.14Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $6.8M · quality 43.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · NDT.MILocal privado en este navegador · Neodecortech S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$57M

P/E

4.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.3x

↓

ROE

8.4%

↑

Gross Margin

37.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.53

↑
52-Week Range$4
$3$4

TradingView lightweight chart

NDT.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.140Periodo +2.3%
Fair value: $4.140

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.6%

FCF / Net income

0.92x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $187.3M · net income $7.3M · FCF $6.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.4%+2.9% pts

Operating margin

6.1%+3.0% pts

Net margin

3.9%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

3.6%+5.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$187.3M$187.3M$172.5M$168.4M$203.6M
Net Income$7.3M$7.3M$4.1M$2.8M$8.4M
EBITDA$20.5M$20.5M$16.8M$13.9M$21.3M
EPS0.540.540.300.200.60
Gross Margin37.4%37.4%37.3%39.1%34.4%
Operating Margin6.1%6.1%4.5%2.8%3.2%
Net Margin3.9%3.9%2.4%1.7%4.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.530.530.570.490.55
Current Ratio1.421.42———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.8M$6.8M$-6.7M$7.3M$-3.6M
Returns
ROE8.4%8.4%5.0%3.7%10.9%
Valuation
P/E4.704.709.7516.005.67
EV/EBITDA4.254.254.325.103.70
P/B0.650.650.490.580.62
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.6%8.6%2.4%-17.3%—
EPS Growth82.2%82.2%48.2%-66.7%—
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-12.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.37

Spread vs growth

94.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.44

Spread vs growth

86.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.72

Spread vs growth

79.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +41.7%

Total return

+41.7%

Start / end P/E

10.1x → 7.7x

EPS bridge

0.30 → 0.54

Residual

-20.0%

EPS growth+82.2%
Multiple rerating-24.3%
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.