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NFL.BO$75.17+0.58%
Fair $75.17+0.0%

NFL.BO

National Fertilizers Limited

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsBSE

$75.17

+0.43 (+0.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $75.17Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.8B · quality 32.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · NFL.BOLocal privado en este navegador · National Fertilizers Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$36.9B

P/E

17.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.2x

↓

ROE

7.4%

↑

Gross Margin

35.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.40

↑
52-Week Range$75
$64$112

TradingView lightweight chart

NFL.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $75.17Periodo +805.7%
Fair value: $75.17

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+44.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.3%

FCF / Net income

-7.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $215.14B · net income $2.11B · FCF $-15.70B

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

35.8%+214.9% pts

Operating margin

2.0%-12.5% pts

Net margin

1.0%-5.5% pts

FCF margin

-7.3%+0.3% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$215.14B$215.14B$197.94B$75.48B$71.17B
Net Income$2.11B$2.11B$1.84B$1.50B$4.58B
EBITDA$9.29B$9.29B$8.11B$8.02B$12.66B
EPS4.314.313.753.069.34
Gross Margin35.8%35.8%37.6%-112.1%-179.0%
Operating Margin2.0%2.0%1.2%2.7%14.5%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%0.9%2.0%6.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.401.400.741.611.58
Current Ratio1.011.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-15.70B$-15.70B$23.89B$3.76B$-5.41B
Returns
ROE7.4%7.4%6.8%5.9%18.1%
Valuation
P/E17.4417.4420.9334.068.01
EV/EBITDA8.188.187.2011.446.05
P/B1.301.301.422.011.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.7%8.7%162.2%6.1%—
EPS Growth14.9%14.9%22.5%-67.2%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

15.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.67

Spread vs growth

-0.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$8.07

Spread vs growth

1.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$13.00

Spread vs growth

3.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -22.0%

Total return

-22.0%

Start / end P/E

26.4x → 17.4x

EPS bridge

3.75 → 4.31

Residual

-5.1%

EPS growth+14.9%
Multiple rerating-34.0%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.