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NGG$80.00-1.88%
Fair $80.00+0.0%

NGG

National Grid plc

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated ElectricNYSE

$80.00

-1.53 (-1.88%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $80.00Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-514.0M · quality 26.3/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · NGGLocal privado en este navegador · National Grid plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$79.6B

P/E

19.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

57.4x

↑

ROE

7.7%

↑

Gross Margin

77.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.26

↑
52-Week Range$80
$68$95

TradingView lightweight chart

NGG price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $80.00Periodo +55.5%
Fair value: $80.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-13.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.86x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.38B · net income $2.90B · FCF $-2.50B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

77.4%+10.5% pts

Operating margin

28.6%+4.8% pts

Net margin

15.8%+3.0% pts

FCF margin

-13.6%-17.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.38B$18.38B$19.85B$21.66B$18.45B
Net Income$2.90B$2.90B$2.29B$7.80B$2.35B
EBITDA$7.63B$7.63B$6.83B$7.25B$6.43B
EPS——2.849.752.99
Gross Margin77.4%77.4%73.4%60.2%66.9%
Operating Margin28.6%28.6%22.6%22.5%23.7%
Net Margin15.8%15.8%11.5%36.0%12.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.261.261.581.461.91
Current Ratio0.760.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.50B$-2.50B$-514.0M$6.0M$728.0M
Returns
ROE7.7%7.7%7.7%26.4%9.9%
Valuation
P/E19.8019.8023.397.3225.78
EV/EBITDA57.3857.3814.6513.7716.47
P/B10.3610.361.791.932.54
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.4%-7.4%-8.4%17.4%—
EPS Growth——-70.9%226.3%—
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.1%

Total return

+16.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.84 → n/d

Residual

+12.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+12.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.