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NICL.JK$585.00+2.63%
Fair $585.00+0.0%

NICL.JK

PT PAM Mineral Tbk

Basic Materials / Other Industrial Metals & MiningJakarta

$585.00

+15.00 (+2.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $585.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $472.9B · quality 51.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · NICL.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT PAM Mineral Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.22T

P/E

23.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.8x

↑

ROE

44.5%

↑

Gross Margin

40.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$585
$520$2010

TradingView lightweight chart

NICL.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $585.00Periodo +333.3%
Fair value: $585.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.6%

FCF CAGR

+378.3%

FCF margin

32.1%

FCF / Net income

1.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.47T · net income $344.45B · FCF $472.93B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.9%+16.6% pts

Operating margin

30.4%+12.9% pts

Net margin

23.4%+10.4% pts

FCF margin

32.1%+31.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1473.08B$1473.08B$1442.49B$1141.46B$1149.39B
Net Income$344.45B$344.45B$318.04B$26.92B$149.73B
EBITDA$466.19B$466.19B$423.03B$52.92B$206.28B
EPS32.3932.3929.902.6515.50
Gross Margin40.9%40.9%35.9%12.0%24.3%
Operating Margin30.4%30.4%28.7%3.9%17.4%
Net Margin23.4%23.4%22.0%2.4%13.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.010.00
Current Ratio3.013.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$472.93B$472.93B$481.41B$-47.53B$4.32B
Returns
ROE44.5%44.5%36.3%3.6%30.2%
Valuation
P/E23.0123.018.6389.0611.61
EV/EBITDA12.8312.835.9642.877.97
P/B8.048.043.133.223.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.1%2.1%26.4%-0.7%—
EPS Growth8.3%8.3%1028.3%-82.9%—
Dividend Yield6.3%6.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$51.91

Spread vs growth

-8.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$62.81

Spread vs growth

-5.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$101.16

Spread vs growth

-3.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -38.5%

Total return

-38.5%

Start / end P/E

35.5x → 18.1x

EPS bridge

29.90 → 32.39

Residual

-4.1%

EPS growth+8.3%
Multiple rerating-49.1%
Dividend+6.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.