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NWPX$128.85-0.29%
Fair $128.85+0.0%

NWPX

NWPX Infrastructure, Inc.

Basic Materials / SteelNasdaqGS

$128.85

-0.37 (-0.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $128.85Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $35.2M · quality 65.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 38/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · NWPXLocal privado en este navegador · NWPX Infrastructure, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

30.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

20.2x

↑

ROE

9.0%

↑

Gross Margin

19.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.26

↑
52-Week Range$129
$38$134

TradingView lightweight chart

NWPX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $128.85Periodo +820.4%
Fair value: $128.85

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.1%

FCF CAGR

-1.0%

FCF margin

9.0%

FCF / Net income

1.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $526.0M · net income $35.4M · FCF $47.1M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.7%+17.3% pts

Operating margin

9.7%+14.8% pts

Net margin

6.7%+10.7% pts

FCF margin

9.0%-11.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$526.0M$526.0M$492.5M$444.4M$457.7M————$132.8M$149.4M$173.2M$403.3M$359.4M$388.9M$511.7M$386.8M$278.7M
Net Income$35.4M$35.4M$34.2M$21.1M$31.1M$11.5M$19.1M$27.9M$20.3M$-10.2M$-9.3M$-29.4M$-17.9M$-923000.00$16.2M$12.7M$-5.4M$-11.1M
EBITDA$68.5M$68.5M$67.1M$49.9M$62.0M$29.7M$40.1M$41.4M——$-18000.00$-15.4M$14.3M$50.8M$47.6M$47.3M$14.3M$-3.3M
EPS3.563.563.402.093.111.161.932.852.09-1.06-0.97-3.07-1.88-0.101.721.35-0.59-1.20
Gross Margin19.7%19.7%19.4%17.5%18.8%————4.4%0.0%0.3%10.1%16.8%15.2%11.6%7.7%2.4%
Operating Margin9.7%9.7%9.8%7.6%9.8%————-6.9%-6.7%-14.5%0.0%10.4%8.0%6.4%0.2%-5.1%
Net Margin6.7%6.7%6.9%4.7%6.8%————-7.7%-6.2%-17.0%-4.4%-0.3%4.2%2.5%-1.4%-4.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.260.260.350.460.59—0.020.00—————0.000.020.050.08—
Current Ratio2.682.68————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$47.1M$47.1M$34.3M$35.2M$-5.6M$-19.1M$42.1M$34.3M$-22.2M$-10.4M$-773000.00$48.4M$20.8M$-8.4M$27.7M$-4.1M$-39.9M$55.8M
Returns
ROE9.0%9.0%9.1%6.2%9.8%4.1%7.1%11.2%9.3%-5.1%-4.4%-13.5%-7.3%-0.4%6.3%5.3%-2.4%-4.8%
Valuation
P/E30.3230.3213.8413.6610.86—————————————
EV/EBITDA20.1520.158.928.798.44—————————————
P/B3.243.241.270.851.06—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.8%6.8%10.8%-2.9%—————-11.1%-13.7%-57.1%12.2%-7.6%-24.0%32.3%38.8%—
EPS Growth4.7%4.7%62.7%-32.8%—-39.9%-32.3%36.4%297.2%-9.3%68.4%-63.3%-1780.0%-105.8%27.4%328.8%50.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

47.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$11.43

Spread vs growth

-42.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$13.83

Spread vs growth

-26.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$22.28

Spread vs growth

-15.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +228.4%

Total return

+228.4%

Start / end P/E

11.5x → 36.2x

EPS bridge

3.40 → 3.56

Residual

+10.1%

EPS growth+4.7%
Multiple rerating+213.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+10.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.