StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
OGN.L$397.50+0.00%
Fair $397.50+0.0%

OGN.L

Origin Enterprises plc

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsLSE

$397.50

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $397.50Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $88.5M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · OGN.LLocal privado en este navegador · Origin Enterprises plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$430M

P/E

12.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

406.9x

↑

ROE

10.0%

↑

Gross Margin

16.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.64

↑
52-Week Range$398
$4$440

TradingView lightweight chart

OGN.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $397.50Periodo +11257.5%
Fair value: $397.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.1%

FCF / Net income

-1.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.05B · net income $40.4M · FCF $-42.8M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

16.8%+2.0% pts

Operating margin

3.4%+0.3% pts

Net margin

2.0%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

-2.1%-4.7% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$2.05B$2.05B$2.46B$2.34B$1.66B
Net Income$40.4M$40.4M$51.0M$79.9M$38.2M
EBITDA$112.5M$112.5M$118.4M$155.7M$88.4M
EPS0.350.350.430.63—
Gross Margin16.8%16.8%13.6%15.8%14.8%
Operating Margin3.4%3.4%3.1%4.5%3.2%
Net Margin2.0%2.0%2.1%3.4%2.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.640.640.370.490.63
Current Ratio1.461.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-42.8M$-42.8M$88.5M$103.5M$43.7M
Returns
ROE10.0%10.0%12.4%19.8%10.6%
Valuation
P/E12.4212.427.626.79—
EV/EBITDA406.94406.943.303.525.51
P/B112.72112.720.951.351.18
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-16.7%-16.7%4.9%41.2%—
EPS Growth-18.7%-18.7%-31.8%——
Dividend Yield3.8%3.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

364.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$35.27

Spread vs growth

-383.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

161.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$42.68

Spread vs growth

-179.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

69.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$68.73

Spread vs growth

-88.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11180.4%

Total return

+11180.4%

Start / end P/E

8.1x → 1128.9x

EPS bridge

0.43 → 0.35

Residual

-2575.5%

EPS growth-18.7%
Multiple rerating+13770.8%
Dividend+3.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2575.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.