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v0.1
OPRT$5.28-2.58%
Fair $7.82+48.1%

OPRT

Oportun Financial Corporation

Financial Services / Credit ServicesNasdaqGS

$5.28

-0.14 (-2.58%)

Modestly Undervalued+48.1%Fair Value $7.82Fund rank 63/100 · WatchlistSEC 9/9 yrs|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 6/9
High DebtDeclining Revenue

Book/ROE base 3Y

$9.70

+22.5% CAGR · P/B 1.0x

Book/ROE base 5Y

$11.18

+16.2% base · +21.8% expected

Precio de entrada

$4.96

MOS 22% · confianza 78%

Book/ROE escenarios

audited · book/share $8.15 · quality 0.0/100

Watchlist 63/100
Bear 5Y$3.50-7.9%
Base 5Y$11.18+16.2%
Bull 5Y$30.68+42.2%
Return 100/100Downside 60/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 99/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

98/100

+48.1% upside

5Y CAGR

+21.8%

100/100

Data QA

90/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 9Warnings: 2sec-companyfacts: 9
Generic DCF/FCF bypassed: financial balance-sheet sector valued with a sector-specific Book/ROE model. Ignored inconsistent direct book value per share; SEC/provider per-share units appear mismatched with market-cap-implied share class. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 7.21, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · OPRTLocal privado en este navegador · Oportun Financial Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$241M

P/E

10.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

6.5%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

7.21

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

OPRT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.280Periodo -67.3%
Buy zone: $4.960Bear 5Y: $3.500Fair value: $7.820Base 5Y: $11.18Bull 5Y: $30.68

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2017–2025 · 8 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-30.6%

FCF CAGR

+14.6%

FCF margin

1998.9%

FCF / Net income

15.41x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $19.5M · net income $25.2M · FCF $389.1M

2017-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

129.7%+132.5% pts

FCF margin

1998.9%+1962.7% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$19.5M$19.5M$22.7M$25.6M$31.2M$813000.00$583.7M$600.1M$497.6M$361.0M
Net Income$25.2M$25.2M$-78.7M$-180.0M$-77.7M$47.4M$-45.1M$61.6M$123.4M$-10.2M
EPS0.530.53-1.95-4.88-2.371.56-1.650.404.47-4.22
Net Margin129.7%129.7%-347.1%-703.8%-249.3%5832.0%-7.7%10.3%24.8%-2.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity7.217.217.987.275.42—————
Current Ratio60.0160.01————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$389.1M$389.1M$374.3M$361.5M$241.9M$151.2M$148.0M$209.5M$123.8M$130.6M
Returns
ROE6.5%6.5%-22.2%-44.5%-14.2%7.9%-9.7%12.6%35.6%-4.7%
Valuation
P/E10.4410.44———3.55—13.841.24—
P/B0.680.680.630.500.330.280.320.120.060.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-14.1%-14.1%-11.3%-18.0%3735.9%-99.9%-2.7%20.6%37.9%—
EPS Growth127.2%127.2%60.0%-105.9%-251.9%194.5%-512.5%-91.1%205.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.47

Spread vs growth

131.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.57

Spread vs growth

125.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.91

Spread vs growth

121.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -20.6%

Total return

-20.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.95 → 0.53

Residual

-20.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.