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PALCO.BO$149.65-3.04%
Fair $149.65+0.0%

PALCO.BO

Palco Metals Limited

Basic Materials / AluminumBSE

$149.65

-4.40 (-3.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $149.65Fund rank 17/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 7/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-11.3M · quality 13.7/100

Data gap 17/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.22, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · PALCO.BOLocal privado en este navegador · Palco Metals Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$599M

P/E

19.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.1x

↑

ROE

54.3%

↑

Gross Margin

6.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.22

↑
52-Week Range$150
$89$240

TradingView lightweight chart

PALCO.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $140.40Periodo +1023.2%
Fair value: $149.65

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

11.7%

FCF / Net income

4.56x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.46B · net income $63.1M · FCF $287.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

6.7%-1.1% pts

Operating margin

4.2%-0.1% pts

Net margin

2.6%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

11.7%+13.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.46B$2.46B$1.94B$1.60B$1.74B
Net Income$63.1M$63.1M$50.3M$14.0M$47.5M
EBITDA$130.2M$130.2M$90.6M$40.1M$80.2M
EPS7.827.826.243.4911.89
Gross Margin6.7%6.7%6.1%5.2%7.9%
Operating Margin4.2%4.2%3.1%1.9%4.3%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%2.6%0.9%2.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.223.221.901.651.24
Current Ratio1.201.20———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$287.5M$287.5M$-11.3M$-61.7M$-25.4M
Returns
ROE54.3%54.3%26.7%9.0%32.5%
Valuation
P/E19.1419.1415.5117.334.86
EV/EBITDA12.1412.1412.5512.395.13
P/B10.3910.394.141.551.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth26.7%26.7%21.5%-8.0%—
EPS Growth25.4%25.4%78.5%-70.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

19.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$13.28

Spread vs growth

6.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

15.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$16.07

Spread vs growth

9.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$25.88

Spread vs growth

12.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.8%

Total return

-31.8%

Start / end P/E

33.0x → 18.0x

EPS bridge

6.24 → 7.82

Residual

-11.6%

EPS growth+25.4%
Multiple rerating-45.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.